Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 23
- Referee: Sepulveda M. I. R. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (308/380) | 84% (339/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (308/380) | 84% (339/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 62% (34/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (74/99) | 70% (73/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 53% (9/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Paz G. 🟨,
- 29', Cuevas C. 🟨,
- 38', Andia Leon Y. W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Maluenda L. ↓, Zapata Y. ↑,
- 46', Paz G. ↓, Penailillo N. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 1, Valencia D. ⚽, Zampedri F. (A),
- 58', Castro D. 🟨,
- 62', Andia Leon Y. W. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
- 66', Penailillo N. ↓, Fritz F. ↑,
- 79', Montes C. ↓, Escobar D. ↑,
- 88', Canales A. ↓, Cerda A. ↑,
- 88', Zampedri F. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
- 90+4', Salas J. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
- 90+4', Pinares C. ↓, Plaza J. ↑,
- 90+7', Parot A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportes Limache
29.2% | Draw
29.1% | Universidad Católica
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Deportes Limache - Universidad Católica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↑
(2.85) |
3.26 ↑
(3.25) |
2.32 ↓
(2.4) |
5%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Limache - Universidad Católica?
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Universidad Católica will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Limache have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Uni Católica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Limache may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Limache won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Limache won against Universidad Católica?
Deportes Limache has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Deportes Limache?
Universidad Católica has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Limache - Universidad Católica were as follows:
19.04.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Deportes Limache
2:1
Latest results of Deportes Limache
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 44:22 | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 | La Serena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23:45 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
