Colo-Colo vs Universidad Católica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
16/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 20
  • Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.83
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
143
Passes
84% (412/493)68% (129/191)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.122.82
Total shots
209
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
143
Touches in opposition box
3115
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
69
Passes
84% (412/493)68% (129/191)
Long passes
65% (31/48)37% (16/43)
Passes in final third
73% (148/203)54% (22/41)
Crosses
22% (8/36)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.411.19
Throw-ins
2611
Fouls
97
Tackles
88% (15/17)81% (17/21)
Duels won
5650
Clearances
943
Interceptions
1217
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.821.12
Goals prevented
-1.180.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Cuevas C. , Zampedri F. (A),
  • 11', Cuevas C. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 2, Asta-Buruaga T. , Valencia J. (A),
  • 32', Vegas S. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 3, Zampedri F. ,
  • 39', Corral D. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 3, Wiemberg E. , Correa J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Saldivia A. , Aquino C. ,
  • 46', 1 - 4, Cuevas C. ,
  • 57', Vidal A. , Marchant F. ,
  • 57', Mendez V. , Pavez E. ,
  • 62', Corral D. , Valencia D. ,
  • 69', Correa J. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 74', Valencia J. , Canales A. ,
  • 74', Montes C. , Romero L. ,
  • 83', Zampedri F. , Bello E. ,
  • 83', Cuevas C. , Perez I. ,
  • 85', Aquino C. 🟨,
  • 85', Mena E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Colo-Colo
50.4%
Draw
28%
Universidad Católica
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 26.1% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 26.6% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.71)
    3.34
    (3.5)
    4.34
    (4.5)
    7.4%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Colo-Colo (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 4.
    • Recent form of Colo-Colo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Uni Católica has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Colo-Colo is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica were as follows:
    06.07.2025 Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo 2:0
    03.10.2024 Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica 1:0
    20.04.2024 Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo 0:1
    01.10.2023 Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica 2:1
    20.08.2023 Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica 1:0
    Latest results of Colo-Colo
    03.08.2025 Colo-Colo - Huachipato 2:2
    27.07.2025 OHiggins - Colo-Colo 1:1
    26.07.2025 Colo-Colo - Valladolid 0:1
    23.07.2025 Colo-Colo - Valladolid 0:2
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Limache1163225:111421
    2Colo Colo1070311:6521
    3Huachipato1161418:14419
    4O'Higgins1161417:16119
    5U. Catolica1152424:17717
    6U. De Chile1145211:6517
    7Nublense1145211:9217
    8Coquimbo1051414:12216
    9Everton1143412:10215
    10La Serena1135313:14-114
    11Palestino1142514:18-414
    12U. De Concepcion114259:19-1014
    13A. Italiano1132615:16-111
    14Cobresal1131717:23-610
    15Union La Calera1131710:21-1110
    16D. Concepcion112278:17-98

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso