Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (315/407) | 62% (161/258) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (315/407) | 62% (161/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/63) | 38% (28/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (82/137) | 44% (47/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Rosic L. 🟨,
- 19', Yi Teng ↓, Li Songyi ↑,
- 32', 0 - 1, Zhang Huachen ⚽,
- 42', Wang Zhifeng 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Salazar J. ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
- 54', Luo Jing ↓, Ionita II A. ↑,
- 64', Asqer A. 🟨,
- 64', Abdugheni Abduhamit ↓, Sunzu S. ↑,
- 65', Zhang Huachen ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
- 82', Mawlanniyaz D. ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
- 90+9', 1 - 1, Taty Maritu O. (Pen),
- 90+11', Tan Long ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
Chances of winning
Yunnan Yukun
54.9% | Draw
22.5% | Changchun Yatai
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Yunnan Yukun - Changchun Yatai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.8) |
4.08 ↑
(4) |
4.15 ↑
(3.65) |
6.7%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Changchun Yatai?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Yunnan Yukun will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
- Yunnan Yukun has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Changchun Yatai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Yunnan Yukun is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Zhao Yingjie
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Nene
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Yunnan Yukun won against Changchun Yatai?
Yunnan Yukun has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Yunnan Yukun?
Changchun Yatai has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yunnan Yukun - Changchun Yatai were as follows:
20.04.2025
Changchun Yatai
-
Yunnan Yukun
0:0
Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 63:38 | 25 | 57 |
| 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 53:22 | 31 | 55 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 59:31 | 28 | 54 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 57:39 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 56:40 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35:32 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 39 |
| 8 | Dalian Yingbo | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 26:38 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 38:49 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 31:37 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 45:43 | 2 | 29 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32:54 | -22 | 24 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 29:53 | -24 | 20 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23:37 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 | Changchun Yatai | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 16 | Meizhou Hakka | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 30:57 | -27 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
