Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
02/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusSport TV
chinaChinaMigu
spainSpainGol Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.142.13
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
56
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
58
Passes
83% (326/393)83% (362/435)
Expected goals (xG)
1.142.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.682.96
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
69
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2425
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
12
Free kicks
79
Passes
83% (326/393)83% (362/435)
Long passes
55% (32/58)39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
68% (70/103)66% (84/127)
Crosses
16% (3/19)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.98
Throw ins
2219
Fouls
97
Tackles
67% (6/9)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4330
Clearances
1930
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
2.961.68
Goals prevented
-0.04-1.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Zhang Yuning , Zhang Xizhe (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Ionita II A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 60', 1 - 2, Zhang Xizhe (Penalty Awarded),
  • 60', Wang Gang , Yue Tze-Nam ,
  • 60', Ye Chugui , Saeter J. ,
  • 60', Xu Xin , Huang Zichang ,
  • 60', Tang Miao , Zhang Chenliang ,
  • 73', Zhang Xizhe , Feng Boxuan ,
  • 74', Zhao Yuhao , Fei Ernanduo ,
  • 74', Yang Zihao , Abdusalam B. ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Cleber , Saeter J. (A),
  • 81', 2 - 3, Serginho , Feng Boxuan (A),
  • 83', Serginho , Deng J. ,
  • 90', 3 - 3, Taty Maritu O. , Huang Zichang (A),

Chances of winning


Yunnan Yukun
36.1%
Draw
25.9%
Beijing Guoan
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 25.9% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 24.6% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.81)
    3.61
    (3.61)
    2.47
    (2.3)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 12).
    • Yunnan Yukun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Beijing Guoan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Yunnan Yukun has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Nkololo B. (Injury) Spajic U. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Abreu F. (Inactive) He Yupeng (Foot Injury) Wu Shaocong (Inactive) Yang Liyu (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:3.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
    20.08.2025 Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun 7:0
    30.06.2025 Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun 2:1
    22.02.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan 0:2
    Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
    Latest results of Beijing Guoan
    Chinese Super League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chengdu Rongcheng981026:91725
    2Chongqing Tonglianglong953112:7518
    3Dalian Yingbo960315:14118
    4Yunnan Yukun941420:17313
    5Shanghai Shenhua962121:111010
    6Shenzhen Xinpengcheng930612:17-59
    7Shandong Taishan942312:14-28
    8Qingdao West Coast91536:14-88
    9Liaoning Tieren92167:15-87
    10Zhejiang Professional93249:13-46
    11Shanghai Port931514:1225
    12Henan Songshan Longmen932410:1005
    13Beijing Guoan923412:14-24
    14Qingdao Hainiu932411:13-24
    15Wuhan Three Towns922512:18-63
    16Tianjin Jinmen Tiger923413:14-1-1

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