Result
3:2
06/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Kikui Y. ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 1, Hiraoka M. ⚽, Kato J. (A),
- 22', 2 - 1, Vasquez B. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 2, Nonomura T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nonomura T. ↓, Sugita H. ↑,
- 50', Sugita H. 🟨,
- 59', 3 - 2, Okaniwa Y. ⚽,
- 63', Ogawa D. ↓, Yamamoto R. ↑,
- 63', Yamamoto K. ↓, Yasunaga R. ↑,
- 70', Murakoshi K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 77', 🟨,
- 77', Takahashi S. 🟨,
- 86', Hayashi M. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
- 86', Okaniwa Y. ↓, Tosa R. ↑,
- 86', Kato J. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
- 90+1', Kikui Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tochigi City
52.1% | Draw
25.2% | Matsumoto Yamaga
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.67) |
3.62 ↓
(3.72) |
4.02 ↓
(4.48) |
9.6%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tochigi City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 11).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Tochigi City is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tochigi City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi City won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Tochigi City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Tochigi City?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga were as follows:
20.04.2025
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Tochigi City
0:1
Latest results of Tochigi City
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 37:17 | 20 | 63 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 51:31 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47:35 | 12 | 53 |
| 5 | Osaka | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 41:28 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 31:29 | 2 | 43 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31:29 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 49:59 | -10 | 41 |
| 11 | Gifu | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Sagamihara | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 29:40 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Yamaga | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Gainare Tottori | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Ryukyu | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:40 | -9 | 34 |
| 16 | Kochi United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 37:51 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Nagano | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:42 | -16 | 29 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 28 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 28 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 32:42 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
