Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nagano Parceiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sunpro Alwin (Matsumoto).

J2/J3 League - Round 12
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
3	4
Corner kicks
6	5
Yellow cards
3	0
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
9	6
Corner kicks
6	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Miyabe T. ↓, Matsumura G. ↑,
45+2', Fukazawa Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Hasegawa H. ⚽,
66', Shin K. ↓, Shimizu S. ↑,
66', Nojima K. ↓, Higuchi K. ↑,
70', Kato T. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
70', Yasunaga R. ↓, Inoue A. ↑,
81', Murakoshi K. 🟨,
83', Koga S. ↓, Hasegawa Y. ↑,
83', Higuchi D. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
83', Matsumura G. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
85', Oda I. 🟨,
89', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
89', Kondo T. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Matsumoto Yamaga
63.3%

Draw
21.9%

Nagano Parceiro
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

22.7%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

22.2%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nagano Parceiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.62)	4.17 ↑ (4.08)	6.15 ↑ (4.62)	9.7% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro?

Users Predictions: Matsumoto Yamaga will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1.
Recent performances by Matsumoto Yamaga have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Nagano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Matsumoto Yamaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Matsumoto Yamaga is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Nagano Parceiro?

Matsumoto Yamaga has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nagano Parceiro won against Matsumoto Yamaga?

Nagano Parceiro has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro were as follows:

14.03.2026 Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga 0:5

19.07.2025 Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga 1:0

14.05.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro 2:2

05.10.2024 Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga 1:1

29.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro 1:1

Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga

18.04.2026 Consadole Sapporo - Matsumoto Yamaga 2:1 ✺

12.04.2026 Matsumoto Yamaga - Omiya Ardija 4:1 ✺

05.04.2026 Matsumoto Yamaga - Iwaki 2:3 ✺

29.03.2026 Fukushima United - Matsumoto Yamaga 1:3 ✺

21.03.2026 Matsumoto Yamaga - Gifu 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Nagano Parceiro

19.04.2026 Iwaki - Nagano Parceiro 1:0 ✺

12.04.2026 Nagano Parceiro - Júbilo Iwata 1:2 ✺

04.04.2026 Fujieda MYFC - Nagano Parceiro 0:2 ✺

28.03.2026 Gifu - Nagano Parceiro 5:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Nagano Parceiro - Iwaki 1:3 ✺

Japan J2 J3 League Table

2026

East A

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	14	9	4	0	1	31:10	35
2	Shonan Bellmare	14	7	3	1	3	26:14	28
3	Blaublitz	14	9	0	1	4	19:13	28
4	Sagamihara	14	5	2	2	5	26:25	21
5	Montedio Yamagata	14	5	2	0	7	16:16	19
6	Yokohama FC	14	5	1	1	7	28:26	18
7	Kusatsu	14	4	1	2	7	17:32	16
8	Tochigi SC	14	4	0	3	7	22:28	15
9	Vanraure	14	4	0	3	7	13:19	15
10	Tochigi City	14	4	1	1	8	16:31	15

East B

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Kofu	14	9	1	0	4	18:9	29
2	Iwaki	14	7	3	1	3	22:14	28
3	Omiya Ardija	14	7	1	1	5	30:21	24
4	Gifu	14	7	1	1	5	20:18	24
5	Fujieda MYFC	14	5	2	4	3	19:20	23
6	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	14	6	2	0	6	19:18	22
7	Yamaga	14	5	1	2	6	25:19	19
8	Iwata	14	3	4	2	5	15:17	19
9	Fukushima Utd	14	3	0	2	9	20:34	11
10	Nagano	14	2	1	3	8	12:30	11

West A

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Toyama	14	9	3	0	2	34:16	33
2	Tokushima	14	9	0	1	4	32:17	28
3	Kochi United	14	7	2	2	3	22:19	27
4	Albirex Niigata	14	6	3	1	4	18:15	25
5	Ehime	14	6	1	2	5	22:16	22
6	Kanazawa	14	4	3	2	5	14:19	20
7	Nara Club	14	3	2	2	7	18:29	15
8	Osaka	14	2	2	4	6	10:16	14
9	Imabari	14	3	1	2	8	10:16	13
10	Kamatamare	14	4	0	1	9	9:26	13

West B

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	14	12	0	1	1	29:9	37
2	Kagoshima Utd	14	6	4	1	3	20:12	27
3	Sagan Tosu	14	6	2	2	4	18:13	24
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	14	6	2	1	5	20:19	23
5	Kumamoto	14	7	0	1	6	16:16	22
6	Oita Trinita	14	5	1	1	7	17:16	18
7	Gainare Tottori	13	4	2	1	6	15:17	17
8	Giravanz Kitakyushu	14	4	0	2	8	14:25	14
9	Reilac Shiga	13	4	0	1	8	8:20	13
10	Ryukyu	14	1	3	3	7	12:22	12

Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )