Bray Wanderers vs Waterford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier Division - Relegation - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.51
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1125
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
53% (106/199)75% (275/368)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.760.55
Total shots
1125
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
412
Blocked Shots
39
Shots inside the Box
519
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
1553
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
108
Passes
53% (106/199)75% (275/368)
Long passes
25% (15/60)51% (41/81)
Passes in final third
51% (44/86)66% (127/191)
Crosses
0% (0/4)40% (12/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.281.87
Throw-ins
2332
Fouls
810
Tackles
57% (12/21)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
6427
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.550.76
Goals prevented
-1.45-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Knight C. ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Noonan C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Burke R. 🟨,
  • 57', Knight C. , O'Neill B. ,
  • 59', Doyle C. 🟨,
  • 60', McMenamy D. , Glenfield S. ,
  • 64', White K. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Glenfield S. ,
  • 76', Glenfield S. 🟨,
  • 76', Smith M. , Bakboord N. ,
  • 84', Kizenga A. , Ferizaj R. ,
  • 84', Brennan S. , Almirall G. ,
  • 85', Lonergan T. , Faal M. ,
  • 90+3', Curtis C. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Bakboord N. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Bray Wanderers
30.7%
Draw
28%
Waterford
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 24.4% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6% 24.4% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bray Wanderers's form might have worsened.
  • Waterford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Waterford's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+20.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bray Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waterford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bray Wanderers - Waterford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (1.77)
    3.59
    (3.75)
    2.43
    (3.8)
    -0.4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bray Wanderers - Waterford?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bray Wanderers (votes: 1 - 50%). Waterford (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Waterford will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Tolka Park.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 4.
    • In recent matches, Waterford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bray Wanderers is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Waterford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Waterford is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:11. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bray Wanderers - Waterford were as follows:
    25.08.2023 Bray Wanderers - Waterford 0:1
    09.06.2023 Waterford - Bray Wanderers 3:1
    18.03.2023 Waterford - Bray Wanderers 2:2
    25.09.2022 Bray Wanderers - Waterford 0:3
    Latest results of Bray Wanderers
    Latest results of Waterford
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bohemians752010:2817
    2St. Patricks742112:5714
    3Shamrock Rovers733110:6412
    4Dundalk724112:10210
    5Shelbourne724110:9110
    6Derry City72239:908
    7Galway72238:9-18
    8Drogheda72237:9-28
    9Sligo Rovers71153:11-84
    10Waterford70256:17-112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1