Result
 
                    5:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        16/09/2025 at  20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Division Profesional - Round 20
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.50 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 32% | 68% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 27 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 14 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 67% (130/193) | 83% (343/414) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.50 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.26 | 3.16 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 27 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 14 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 13 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 10 | 14 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 11 | 29 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 12 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 67% (130/193) | 83% (343/414) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 33% (17/51) | 41% (15/37) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 57% (43/76) | 67% (85/126) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 23% (3/13) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.15 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 17 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 12 | 8 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 89% (8/9) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 18 | 33 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 27 | 13 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 10 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 11 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 3.16 | 2.26 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.16 | -2.74 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
 - 5', Justiniano G. 🟨, 
 - 7', Gustavo Oliveira 🟨, 
 - 9', Sanchez H. 🟨, 
 - 20', 1 - 0, Zeballos S. ⚽, Alessandrini A. (A), 
 - 23', 1 - 1, Ramallo R. ⚽, 
 - 37', 2 - 1, Gustavo Oliveira ⚽, Orihuela R. (A), 
 - 45+7', Sanchez H. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (3 - 2)
 - 46', Fernandez A. ↓, Huayhuata I. ↑, 
 - 57', Gustavo Oliveira ↓, Vaca L. ↑, 
 - 57', Vila L. ↓, Vallejos Y. ↑, 
 - 58', 3 - 1, Ribera C. ⚽, 
 - 69', Ali L. ↓, Bravo Adan A. F. ↑, 
 - 72', Ballivian R. ↓, Blanco O. ↑, 
 - 75', Blanco O. (Pen), 
 - 76', 4 - 1, Zeballos S. ⚽, Bravo Adan A. F. (A), 
 - 80', 4 - 2, Terrazas A. ⚽, Ramallo R. (A), 
 - 81', Vallejos Y. 🟨, 
 - 82', Orihuela R. 🟨, 
 - 86', Zeballos S. ↓, Prieto J. ↑, 
 - 89', Gomez Saca R. 🟨, 
 - 90+4', 5 - 2, Vallejos Y. ⚽, Orihuela R. (A), 
 - 90+6', 5 - 3, Ramallo R. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A), 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Real Oruro  42.3% | Draw  26.8% | Aurora  30.9% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Real Oruro - Aurora Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.19 ↑ (2.07) | 
			   3.41 ↑ (3.24) | 
			   2.94 ↑ (2.88) | 
			   9.1% (13.9%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Real Oruro - Aurora?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Real Oruro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 75%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
 - In recent matches, Real Oruro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
 - Aurora is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  - In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
 - In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Oruro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Real Oruro won against Aurora?
                    
                    
                        
                            Real Oruro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Real Oruro?
                    
                    
                        
                             Aurora has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oruro - Aurora were as follows:
                                                        
                                25.04.2025 
                                Aurora 
                                - 
                                Real Oruro 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Real Oruro                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 | 
| 2 | The Strongest | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 64:39 | 25 | 55 | 
| 3 | Bolivar | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 57:24 | 33 | 49 | 
| 4 | Blooming | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 41:38 | 3 | 37 | 
| 5 | Guabira | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 47:48 | -1 | 34 | 
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 | 
| 7 | GV San Jose | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 31 | 
| 8 | Oriente Petrolero | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38:43 | -5 | 30 | 
| 9 | Independiente | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 38:46 | -8 | 30 | 
| 10 | Tomayapo | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 29 | 
| 11 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 | 
| 12 | Real Oruro | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 25 | 
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:45 | -17 | 25 | 
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 23 | 
| 15 | Wilstermann | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19:54 | -35 | 12 | 
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 | 
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation