Result
4:1
29/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.37 | 0.76 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
93% (473/509) | 86% (333/385) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.37 | 0.76 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.95 | 0.85 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 12 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
3 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
7 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
93% (473/509) | 86% (333/385) |
Long passes |
---|
75% (21/28) | 53% (20/38) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (53/69) | 76% (78/103) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (9/25) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.80 | 0.48 |
Throw-ins |
---|
7 | 5 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (4/5) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
24 | 19 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 14 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.85 | 3.95 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.13 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Valenzuela O. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Colman I. ⚽, Callejo F. (A),
- 24', Campodonico R. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 40', Mendieta J. 🟨,
- 40', Silva N. 🟨,
- 44', Ampuero A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Fernandez A. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 0, Saravia M. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
- 60', Saravia M. 🟨,
- 67', Guevara B. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
- 67', Perleche A. ↓, Oliva E. ↑,
- 72', Silva N. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
- 72', Valenzuela O. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽,
- 81', 3 - 1, Da Silva P. ⚽, Callejo F. (A),
- 88', Mendieta J. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
- 89', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 90+2', Ampuero A. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
- 90+2', Colitto L. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 1, Tevez J. ⚽, Colman I. (A),
Chances of winning
Cusco 63.1% | Draw 21.5% | Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Cusco - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↓ (1.59) |
4.31 ↑ (4.01) |
5.98 ↑ (5.48) |
8.2% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cusco - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 2.
- Cusco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alianza Universidad's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Cusco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cusco is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Cusco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Cusco?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:
18.09.2022
Cusco
-
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
2:1
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )