Alianza Universidad de Huánuco vs Alianza Lima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.75
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
05
Passes
82% (222/271)86% (361/420)
Yellow Cards
71
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.36
Total shots
915
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
1120
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
718
Passes
82% (222/271)86% (361/420)
Long passes
31% (16/51)40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
58% (28/48)67% (68/102)
Crosses
10% (1/10)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.82
Throw-ins
1121
Fouls
187
Tackles
75% (6/8)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3035
Clearances
3511
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.361.06
Goals prevented
-0.64-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Escobar J. , Mena Y. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 1, Castillo E. , Pena S. (A),
  • 38', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 41', Mena Y. 🟨,
  • 43', Campodonico R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Campodonico R. , Iraola G. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Mena Y. , Lliuya M. (A),
  • 51', Iraola G. 🟨,
  • 53', Escobar J. 🟨,
  • 56', Barcos H. 🟥,
  • 63', Aquino P. , Gaibor F. ,
  • 65', Quevedo K. , Paolo Guerrero ,
  • 80', Cantero A. , Ceppelini P. ,
  • 80', Pena S. , Gentile G. ,
  • 83', Escobar J. , Canela Torres J. J. ,
  • 86', Enrique G. , Estrada J. ,
  • 90+2', Lliuya M. , Ramirez N. ,
  • 90+2', Fuentes P. , Ampuero A. ,
  • 90+8', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
  • 90+8', Ampuero A. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
26.3%
Draw
27.2%
Alianza Lima
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 28.1% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 27.8% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (3.39)
    3.42
    (3.33)
    1.98
    (2.11)
    7.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Alianza Lima (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Alianza Lima will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alianza Lima will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1.
    • Alianza Universidad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Alianza Lima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Alianza Lima is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez A. (Yellow Cards) Gomez A. (Red Card) Gomez R. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    19.05.2025 Alianza Lima - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 2:0
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alianza Lima13102124:61832
    2Los Chankas1292121:14729
    3Cienciano1382327:161126
    4U. de Deportes1373322:13924
    5Cusco1362517:21-420
    6Comerciantes Unidos1354417:16119
    7Alianza Atl1345415:12317
    8FBC Melgar1252518:16217
    9AD Tarma1344516:15116
    10Cajamarca1244418:18016
    11Moquegua1351715:20-516
    12Sporting Cristal1343622:22015
    13Juan Pablo II1343619:31-1215
    14Deportivo Garcilaso1234512:16-413
    15Sport Boys1333713:19-612
    16Sport Huancayo1333715:22-712
    17Grau132479:15-610
    18FC Cajamarca1323816:24-89

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