Result
1:0
29/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 70', 1 - 0, Mauriello A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Virtus Francavilla
44.4% | Draw
28.5% | Nardo
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Francavilla's performance.Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Francavilla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+15.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Virtus Francavilla - Nardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(3.01) |
3.17 ↓
(3.23) |
3.32 ↑
(2.17) |
10.8%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)
- In recent matches, Virtus Francavilla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nardo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Virtus Francavilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Francavilla won against Nardo?
Virtus Francavilla has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nardo won against Virtus Francavilla?
Nardo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Francavilla - Nardo were as follows:
16.11.2025
Nardo
-
Virtus Francavilla
3:0
27.04.2025
Nardo
-
Virtus Francavilla
1:0
Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 48:18 | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 59 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 44:33 | 11 | 56 |
| 4 | Paganese | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 55 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Afragolese | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:31 | 11 | 47 |
| 8 | Gravina | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40:38 | 2 | 46 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Sarnese | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Real Normanna | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 23:23 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | SS Nola 1925 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 37 |
| 14 | Francavilla | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 27:33 | -6 | 35 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 19:41 | -22 | 26 |
| 17 | Pompei | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 17:35 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 31 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 18:66 | -48 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
