Result
1:3
06/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 25
- Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (302/387) | 78% (258/330) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.07 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 10 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (302/387) | 78% (258/330) |
| Long passes |
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| 38% (17/45) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 57% (52/91) | 55% (42/76) |
| Crosses |
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| 16% (3/19) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.24 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 61 | 45 |
| Clearances |
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| 25 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.20 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.80 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Viveros K. (Pen),
- 41', Viveros K. 🟨,
- 45+2', Felipinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Marquinho (Pen),
- 73', Mendoza S. ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
- 73', Viveros K. ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
- 73', Leozinho ↓, Julimar ↑,
- 74', Zapelli B. 🟨,
- 80', Carrillo R. ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
- 81', Risso G. ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
- 81', Wesley Dias ↓, Jhony Douglas ↑,
- 82', Felipinho ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
- 84', Teran C. 🟥,
- 87', Zapelli B. ↓, Belezi ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
- 90+12', Maciel L. ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
- 90+14', 1 - 3, Dudu Kogitzki ⚽,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP
16.7% | Draw
30.6% | Athletico Paranaense
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletico Paranaense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.17 ↑
(4.07) |
3.28 ↑
(3.05) |
1.89 ↓
(2.05) |
-0.4%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo SP: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11).
- Botafogo SP is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Athletico PR's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Athletico PR might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Alisson Cassiano
(Inactive)
Ericson
(Injury)
Gabriel Bispo
(Yellow Cards)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L.
(Inactive)
Isaac
(Inactive)
Leo
(Inactive)
Raul
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Leozinho
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Athletico Paranaense?
Botafogo SP has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Botafogo SP?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
04.05.2025
Athletico Paranaense
-
Botafogo SP
1:4
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Remo | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
| 8 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 12 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 33 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 26 |
| 18 | America MG | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
