Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 22
- Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (480/553) | 70% (146/208) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (480/553) | 70% (146/208) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (24/42) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (150/188) | 47% (25/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (7/45) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 3 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Diogo Riquelme ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 53', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
- 64', Mendoza S. (Pen),
- 65', Martinez A. ↓, Max Alves ↑,
- 69', Carlos Alberto ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
- 72', Mendoza S. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 79', Luiz Fernando ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
- 79', Patrick ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 83', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
- 83', Alisson Safira ↓, Pasadore F. ↑,
- 83', Denilson Alves ↓, De Lucca ↑,
- 89', Zapelli B. ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Renan Peixoto ⚽,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Matheusinho ⚽, Guilherme Mariano (A),
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
54.9% | Draw
27.5% | Cuiabá
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.75) |
3.37 ↓
(3.5) |
5.24 ↑
(5) |
7.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Athletico PR is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F.
(Foot Injury)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Raul
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Injury)
Asad Y.
(Injury)
Mateus Pasinato
(Inactive)
Pedrinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Madson
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Cuiabá?
Athletico Paranaense has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Athletico Paranaense?
Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá were as follows:
15.04.2025
Cuiabá
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:1
28.07.2024
Cuiabá
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:2
14.04.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Cuiabá
4:0
06.12.2023
Cuiabá
-
Athletico Paranaense
3:0
15.08.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Cuiabá
2:0
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nautico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
