Pakhtakor vs Shurtan Guzar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Pakhtakor - Shurtan Guzar
Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Total shots
76
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Sergeev I. , Alizhonov K. (A),
  • 27', Nuriddinov S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Resan B. 🟨,
  • 61', Nuriddinov S. , Saidazimov K. ,
  • 74', Nazarov V. 🟥,
  • 77', Riascos B. , Shevchenko N. ,
  • 79', Adkhamzoda U. 🟨,
  • 82', Resan B. , Ibrokhimov I. ,
  • 86', Saidkhonov A. , Ergashboev A. ,
  • 87', Khasanov J. , Anvarov A. ,
  • 90+2', Sergeev I. , Jurakuziev O. ,
  • 90+4', Sobirkhuzhaev S. , Kholmatov D. ,

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
75.1%
Draw
17.4%
Shurtan Guzar
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 20.7% 9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 12.1% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pakhtakor's performance.
  • Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (-34.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pakhtakor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shurtan Guzar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pakhtakor - Shurtan Guzar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.34)
    5.29
    (4.49)
    12.12
    (9.42)
    8.9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 3.
    • Recent matches Pakhtakor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shurtan has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Shurtan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Pakhtakor is certain favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 2.4:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pakhtakor won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:4 (average 3.5:1).
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    Latest results of Shurtan Guzar
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi21137141:162546
    2Neftchi Fargona20126233:161742
    3Din. Samarkand20108230:23738
    4OKMK21114630:24637
    5Pakhtakor20113642:192336
    6Bunyodkor2098332:211135
    7Navbahor Namangan2196637:231433
    8Qizilqum2068618:26-826
    9Sogdiana2166926:26024
    10Termez Surkhon2166918:23-524
    11Andijan2056925:32-721
    12Mashal Muborak21631218:39-2121
    13Xorazm Urganch20541123:26-319
    14Kokand 191220531215:32-1718
    15Buxoro21451219:37-1817
    16Shortan Guzor21251415:39-2411

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          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga