Result
4:2
18/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 8
- Referee: Jorayev G. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Uzbekistan | Futbol TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 10', 1 - 0, Khamdamov D. ⚽,
- 15', Mozgovoy A. 🟨,
- 20', Urozov J. 🟨,
- 22', 2 - 0, Resan B. ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 1, Khozhimirzaev A. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 2, Amanov A. ⚽,
- 31', Dembele M. 🟨,
- 45+6', Yuldashev R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', 3 - 2, Khamdamov D. ⚽,
- 61', Kodirkulov S. ↓, Mavretic T. ↑,
- 71', 4 - 2, Resan B. ⚽,
- 72', Tukhtasinov N. ↓, Abdusalomov J. ↑,
- 76', Sarfo K. ↓, Oblakulov B. ↑,
- 76', Yuldashev R. ↓, Salou D. ↑,
- 79', Mozgovoy A. ↓, Tahseen Z. ↑,
- 84', Khamdamov D. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
- 84', Resan B. ↓, Ibrokhimov I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pakhtakor 50.8% | Draw 26.9% | Dinamo Samarqand 22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pakhtakor's form might have worsened.Dinamo Samarqand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Samarqand's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pakhtakor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Samarqand, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↑ (1.47) |
3.41 ↓ (3.96) |
4.12 ↓ (5.98) |
9% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 2.
- Pakhtakor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dinamo Samarqand has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dinamo Samarqand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pakhtakor is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Pakhtakor will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:14. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pakhtakor won against Dinamo Samarqand?
Pakhtakor has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Samarqand won against Pakhtakor?
Dinamo Samarqand has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand were as follows:
25.09.2025
Pakhtakor
-
Dinamo Samarqand
1:0
11.08.2025
Dinamo Samarqand
-
Pakhtakor
1:1
29.03.2025
Pakhtakor
-
Dinamo Samarqand
0:1
06.10.2024
Pakhtakor
-
Dinamo Samarqand
4:2
20.05.2024
Dinamo Samarqand
-
Pakhtakor
1:1
Latest results of Pakhtakor
Latest results of Dinamo Samarqand
Uzbek League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:3 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Navbahor Namangan | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | OKMK | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Lok. Tashkent | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Andijan | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Termez Surkhon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga