Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
29/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
05
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
72%57%
1st Serve Points Won
55% (36/65)70% (42/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (12/25)47% (21/45)
Break Points Saved
57% (8/14)85% (11/13)
1st Return Points Won
30% (18/60)46% (30/65)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (24/45)52% (13/25)
Break Points Converted
15% (2/13)43% (6/14)
Service Points Won
53% (48/90)60% (63/105)
Return Points Won
40% (42/105)47% (42/90)
Total Points Won
46% (90/195)54% (105/195)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
36% (10/28)64% (18/28)

Chances of winning


Diana Shnaider
21.3%
Iga Swiatek
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.1% 80.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diana Shnaider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Diana Shnaider - Iga Swiatek Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.45
    (4.98)

    1.2
    (1.17)
    5.5%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Diana Shnaider - Iga Swiatek?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Shnaider will win (votes: 20 - 58.8%). Swiatek will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shnaider: 42.3%75.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Shnaider (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Swiatek (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 18.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +5.5 Games - Shnaider (1.79) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Shnaider (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +3 Games - Shnaider (3.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Games - Shnaider (3.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 Games - Shnaider (3.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Games - Shnaider (3.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 Games - Shnaider (3.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Shnaider (7.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 Sets - Shnaider (3.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4.5 Games, 2nd Set - Shnaider (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Games, 2nd Set - Shnaider (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Games, 2nd Set - Shnaider (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Games, 2nd Set - Shnaider (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 Games, 2nd Set - Shnaider (3.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games, 1st Set - Shnaider (3.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 Games, 1st Set - Shnaider (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Games, 1st Set - Shnaider (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Games, 1st Set - Shnaider (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Games, 1st Set - Shnaider (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4.5 Games, 1st Set - Shnaider (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +7 Games - Shnaider (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 19 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Shnaider (votes: 28 - 90.3%). Swiatek (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shnaider is ranked WTA: 13. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 2.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Swiatek is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Diana Shnaider
    Latest results of Iga Swiatek
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Blinkova A. (Alt)Bye
    38Kalieva E. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Potapova A. (LL)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)1 : 2
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.2 : 0
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)1 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.2 : 0
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)2 : 0
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.2 : 0
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    19Blinkova A.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.2 : 0
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)0 : 2
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.0 : 2
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.2 : 0
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)2 : 0
    29Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)0 : 2
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.2 : 1
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J. (29)2 : 0
    2Kalinina A.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    3Bencic B. (11)Shnaider D. (18)2 : 0
    4Baptiste H. (30)Paolini J. (8)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (RET.) (4)Li A. (31)1 : 1
    6Fernandez L. (24)Jovic I. (15)2 : 1
    7Andreeva M. (9)Galfi D.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    10Siniakova K.McNally C.1 : 2
    11Noskova L. (WO.) (13)Samsonova L. (20)
    12Cirstea S. (25)Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    13Sierra S.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    14Mertens E. (19)Pliskova Ka.1 : 2
    15Potapova A.Ostapenko J. (21)2 : 1
    16Zheng Q. (32)Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (14)2 : 1
    2Bencic B. (11)Baptiste H. (30)1 : 2
    3Li A. (31)Fernandez L. (24)0 : 2
    4Andreeva M. (9)Bondar A.2 : 1
    5Kostyuk M. (26)McNally C.2 : 0
    6Noskova L. (13)Gauff C. (3)2 : 1
    7Sierra S.Pliskova Ka.0 : 2
    8Potapova A.Rybakina E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Baptiste H. (30)
    2Fernandez L. (24)Andreeva M. (9)0 : 2
    3Kostyuk M. (26)Noskova L. (13)
    4Pliskova Ka.Potapova A.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Andreeva M. (9)
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2