Result
1:1
08/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 25
- Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (243/330) | 85% (381/446) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 0.78 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.99 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 11 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (243/330) | 85% (381/446) |
| Long passes |
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| 41% (28/68) | 55% (29/53) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 63% (71/113) | 74% (75/102) |
| Crosses |
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| 35% (7/20) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 37 | 27 |
| Fouls |
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| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 43% (6/14) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
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| 40 | 53 |
| Clearances |
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| 17 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.90 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.10 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Sandry 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Junior Todinho ⚽, Dodo (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Nathan Melo ↓, Miticov ↑,
- 46', Joao Miguel ↓, Luiz Filipe ↑,
- 48', Elias 🟨,
- 63', Douglas Pele ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Tavares R. ⚽, Welinton Torrao (A),
- 72', Max ↓, Wesley Gasolina ↑,
- 75', Bruno Mendes ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
- 75', Guilherme Parede ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 75', Junior Todinho ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 85', Igor Henrique ↓, Enzo ↑,
- 90', Tavares R. ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 90', Alex Nascimento ↓, Jhonatan Silva ↑,
- 90+1', David Braga 🟨,
- 90+5', Luiz Filipe 🟨,
- 90+9', Welinton Torrao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
42.1% | Draw
32% | Athletic Club
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Club, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vila Nova - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.82) |
2.94 ↓
(3.33) |
3.63 ↓
(4.38) |
6.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Athletic Club?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Athletic will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 15).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Vila Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vila Nova might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Athletic Club?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Vila Nova?
Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Athletic Club were as follows:
06.05.2025
Athletic Club
-
Vila Nova
0:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
