Result
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
59.6% | Draw
24.2% | Chapecoense
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-1%)
Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.52) |
3.88 ↓
(3.9) |
5.85 ↑
(5.8) |
6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Chapecoense has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Athletico PR is considered a favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 4 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Chapecoense?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Athletico Paranaense?
Chapecoense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense were as follows:
16.09.2025
Chapecoense
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:3
08.05.2025
Athletico Paranaense
-
Chapecoense
1:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
