Result
3:0
08/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Relegation Group - Round 4
- Referee: Moreira E. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (191/274) | 76% (270/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (191/274) | 76% (270/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (23/64) | 45% (33/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (68/103) | 59% (79/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 20', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Valencia D. ⚽,
- 25', Gracia A. ↓, Burbano R. ↑,
- 25', Peralta K. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
- 28', 2 - 0, Aleman C. ⚽, Alman J. (A),
- 33', Valencia M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 3 - 0, Quintero D. (Own goal),
- 69', Valencia D. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
- 72', Davila E. ↓, Zambrano A. ↑,
- 73', Chala Rosales W. J. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
- 77', Valencia M. ↓, Torres Nazareno L. B. ↑,
- 77', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 81', Verges J. 🟨,
- 83', Ramirez B. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
- 83', Aleman C. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 83', Mina G. ↓, Cusme J. ↑,
- 90+1', Zambrano A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Zambrano A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Manta
34.9% | Draw
28.5% | Mushuc Runa
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-1%)
Manta - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.49) |
3.23 ↓
(3.44) |
2.53 ↓
(2.56) |
8.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Manta - Mushuc Runa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1.
- Manta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mushuc Runa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Manta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Mushuc Runa?
Manta has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Manta?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
25.10.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Manta
1:1
30.08.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Manta
2:0
10.05.2025
Manta
-
Mushuc Runa
2:1
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Macara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Delfin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Libertad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | LDU Quito | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Aucas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Mushuc Runa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Orense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Guayaquil City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Manta | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Emelec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
