Airdrieonians vs Stenhousemuir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Relegation - Semi-finals
  • Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
81
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
199
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
126
Corner Kicks
81
Goalkeeper Saves
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Strapp L. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Bannon A. , Frizzell A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Wilson B. , Strapp L. (A),
  • 56', Mochrie C. R. , Gallagher G. ,
  • 57', McStravick L. , Armstrong R. ,
  • 57', Frizzell A. , McGregor L. ,
  • 57', McGrattan L. , Diack R. ,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Yates M. ,
  • 66', Meechan R. 🟨,
  • 67', Wedderburn N. , Alston B. ,
  • 72', Jamieson D. 🟨,
  • 73', Yates M. 🟨,
  • 75', Yates M. , Tomlinson S. ,
  • 82', O'Reilly E. , Mcluckie B. ,
  • 86', Strapp L. , Duffy F. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Airdrieonians
61.6%
Draw
22.1%
Stenhousemuir
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 23.2% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 20% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Airdrieonians that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.58)
    4.21
    (4.02)
    5.75
    (5.33)
    7.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Airdrieonians will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Airdrieonians (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Stenhousemuir (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Airdrieonians (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Stenhousemuir (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 3.
    • Airdrieonians has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Stenhousemuir is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Stenhousemuir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Airdrieonians is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir were as follows:
    06.05.2025 Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians 1:3
    Latest results of Airdrieonians
    Latest results of Stenhousemuir
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone27159350:222854
    2Partick Thistle271310440:301049
    3Arbroath27119737:33442
    4Dunfermline271061137:32536
    5Ayr26713632:31134
    6Raith27791128:28030
    7Morton27612928:36-830
    8Queen's Park266101028:39-1128
    9Airdrieonians27681323:35-1226
    10Ross County27681325:42-1726

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One