Result
2:1 penalties
14/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
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| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
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| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
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| 80% (411/516) | 82% (491/597) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 0.42 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.30 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 22 | 19 |
| Passes |
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| 80% (411/516) | 82% (491/597) |
| Long passes |
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| 41% (27/66) | 55% (38/69) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 56% (70/124) | 66% (95/143) |
| Crosses |
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| 22% (4/18) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.41 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
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| 26 | 36 |
| Fouls |
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| 19 | 22 |
| Tackles |
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| 69% (11/16) | 67% (20/30) |
| Duels won |
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| 59 | 81 |
| Clearances |
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| 31 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
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| 21 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.66 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.34 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Shapiro-Thompson A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Bacharach Capdevila H. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Fagundez D. ⚽, McIntosh D. (A),
- 53', Miller P. 🟨,
- 54', Dorsey L. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 54', Rodriguez A. ↓, Kwizera J. ↑,
- 54', Atkinson D. ↓, Leo Afonso ↑,
- 60', Oliveira C. ↓, Yueill J. ↑,
- 64', Yao K. 🟨,
- 68', Yao K. ↓, Diop H. ↑,
- 75', Zambrano M. 🟨,
- 80', Fry M. ↓, Oyirwoth A. ↑,
- 80', Fagundez D. ↓, Langoni L. ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
- 86', Kohler E. ↓, Farrell A. ↑,
- 86', McIntosh D. ↓, Feingold I. ↑,
- 90+4', Oyirwoth A. 🟨,
- 90+11', 1 - 1, Williams J. ⚽,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 107', Da J. 🟨,
- Penalties (3 - 1)
- 1, Diop H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Langoni L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Kwizera J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Farrell A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Leo Afonso (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Feingold I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Williams J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Beason T. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
New England Revolution 41.4% | Draw 25.6% | Rhode Island 33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New England Revolution's form might have worsened.Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rhode Island's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+17.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New England Revolution, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-14%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rhode Island, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
New England Revolution - Rhode Island Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↑ (1.6) |
3.56 ↓ (3.9) |
2.78 ↓ (4.69) |
8.1% (9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for New England Revolution - Rhode Island?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rhode Island (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Rhode Island will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- New England may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- New England is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, New England won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has New England Revolution won against Rhode Island?
New England Revolution has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rhode Island won against New England Revolution?
Rhode Island has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New England Revolution - Rhode Island were as follows:
07.05.2025
Rhode Island
-
New England Revolution
1:2
Latest results of New England Revolution
Latest results of Rhode Island
Draw
20261/64-finals| 1 | FC Naples | Red Force | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Tormenta | America CFL Spurs (WO.) | |
| 4 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 5 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 7 | Rhode Island | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 8 | Motown | Hartford Athletic | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Chattanooga | Kalonji | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Tennessee Tempo | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 13 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 15 | Charlotte Independ. | Ristozi | 4 : 1 |
| 16 | Charleston | Florida Badgers | 2 : 1 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | Northern Virginia | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 21 | DC United | Bye | |
| 23 | Asheville City | Greenville | 3 : 1 |
| 24 | Vistula | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | Vermont Green | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 0 |
| 26 | Westchester SC | NY Renegades | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | New York City | |
| 29 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 31 | Steel City | Pittsburgh | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Carolina Core | Virginia Dream | 1 : 2 |
| 33 | Flint City | Forward Madison | 2 : 0 |
| 34 | Detroit | Michigan Rangers | 5 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 37 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 39 | San Antonio | New Stars | 6 : 0 |
| 40 | Little Rock Rangers | FC Tulsa | 2 : 4 |
| 41 | Lexington | Flower City Union | 9 : 0 |
| 42 | Louisville City | Southern Indiana | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 45 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 47 | New Mexico | Cruizers | 3 : 2 |
| 48 | Laredo Heat | El Paso | 0 : 2 |
| 49 | Colorado Springs | Azteca | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Ventura | Spokane Velocity | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 53 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 55 | Indy Eleven | Menace | 3 : 0 |
| 56 | BOHFS St. Louis | Union Omaha | 0 : 8 |
| 57 | AV Alta | Valley 559 FC | 0 : 1 |
| 58 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 61 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 63 | Orange County SC | Laguna United | 3 : 0 |
| 64 | Phoenix Rising | San Ramon | 4 : 0 |
1/32-finals| 1 | FC Naples | America CFL Spurs | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 3 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 4 | Rhode Island | Hartford Athletic | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | Tennessee Tempo | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 7 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ. | Charleston | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | Richmond Kickers | Loudoun | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 11 | DC United | Bye | |
| 12 | Asheville City | One Knoxville | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Vermont Green | Westchester SC | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | New York City | |
| 15 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 16 | Pittsburgh | Virginia Dream | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Flint City | Detroit | 0 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 19 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 20 | San Antonio | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
| 21 | Lexington | Louisville City | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 23 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 24 | New Mexico | El Paso | 0 : 4 |
| 25 | Colorado Springs | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 28 | Indy Eleven | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Valley 559 FC | Sacramento Republic | 0 : 4 |
| 30 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 31 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 32 | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | FC Naples | Orlando City | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | Rhode Island | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | Atlanta Utd | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Charlotte | Charlotte Independ. | 6 : 0 |
| 5 | Richmond Kickers | Columbus Crew | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | DC United | One Knoxville | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | Westchester SC | New York City | 2 : 5 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | Pittsburgh | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Detroit | Chicago Fire | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | St. Louis City | FC Tulsa | 4 : 0 |
| 11 | Louisville City | Austin FC | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | El Paso | 4 : 1 |
| 13 | Colorado Springs | Sporting Kansas City | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | Union Omaha | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Sacramento Republic | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | San Jose Earthquakes | Phoenix Rising | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Orlando City | New England Revolution | 4 : 3 |
| 2 | Atlanta Utd | Charlotte | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | One Knoxville | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | New York City | New York Red Bulls | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | St. Louis City | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Louisville City | Houston Dynamo | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | Colorado Rapids | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Orlando City | Atlanta Utd | |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | New York City | |
| 3 | St. Louis City | Houston Dynamo | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | San Jose Earthquakes | |
Semi-finalsFinal