Lexington vs Rhode Island – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, NESN Plus
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.020.48
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
58
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
92
Passes
87% (480/552)75% (223/296)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.020.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.59
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
105
Shots outside the box
47
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3024
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1113
Passes
87% (480/552)75% (223/296)
Long passes
56% (28/50)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
70% (86/122)66% (46/70)
Crosses
9% (3/32)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.79
Throw ins
1613
Fouls
1311
Tackles
55% (6/11)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4152
Clearances
741
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
54
xGOT faced
0.591.17
Goals prevented
-2.410.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Sanchez A. , Rodriguez A. (A),
  • 27', 0 - 2, Kwizera J. , Williams J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Rodriguez A. , Fuson N. ,
  • 63', Burks K. 🟨,
  • 68', 0 - 3, Leo Afonso , Fuson N. (A),
  • 70', Leo Afonso , Shapiro-Thompson A. ,
  • 70', Kwizera J. , Scardina N. ,
  • 71', Nick Firmino , Henry-Scott M. ,
  • 71', Hafferty J. , Brown J. ,
  • 80', Adedokun M. , Scott T. ,
  • 85', 1 - 3, Greene J. ,
  • 88', Williams J. , Dorsey L. ,
  • 88', Bacharach Capdevila H. , Stoneman G. ,
  • 90', Greene J. , Zengue X. ,
  • 90+1', Ordonez A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lexington
40.8%
Draw
29.2%
Rhode Island
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 26.6% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 26.1% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lexington's form might have worsened.
  • Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lexington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Lexington - Rhode Island Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.92)
    3.18
    (3.46)
    3.11
    (3.61)
    7.7%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of Rhode Island
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC84317:3415
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Oakland Roots834114:11313
    5Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    6Sacramento Republic72418:5310
    7Colorado Springs723215:1329
    8FC Tulsa72329:819
    9New Mexico52035:8-36
    10Lexington71336:8-26
    11Las Vegas Lights712411:15-45
    12Monterey Bay70253:13-102

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)