Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury
Result
77:78
14/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7457
Field Goals Made
2527
Field Goals %
33.8%47.4%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4128
2-Point Field Goals Made
1115
2-Point Field Goals %
26.8%53.6%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3329
3-Point Field Goals Made
1412
3-Point Field Goals %
42.4%41.4%
Free Throws Attempted
1519
Free Throws Made
1312
Free Throws %
86.7%63.2%
Offensive Rebounds
113
Defensive Rebounds
2532
Total Rebounds
3635
Assists
2323
Blocks
15
Turnovers
914
Steals
76
Personal Fouls
1618

Chances of winning


Golden State Valkyries
53.9%
Phoenix Mercury
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Golden State Valkyries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Golden State Valkyries than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.83)

    2.05
    (2)
    4.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 158.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Golden State will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Phoenix will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Golden State: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 81:78.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Golden State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Golden State has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Phoenix has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 161:165. (average 80.5:82.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury were as follows:
    05.06.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries 86:77
    11.05.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries 79:84
    Latest results of Golden State Valkyries
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    3Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    4Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    5Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    6Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    7Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    2Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    3Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    4Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    5Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    6Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    3Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    4Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    5Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    6Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    7Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    8Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    9Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    10Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    11Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276
    12Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    13Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192

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