Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
81:72
22/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6167
Field Goals Made
2825
Field Goals %
45.9%37.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2936
2-Point Field Goals Made
1417
2-Point Field Goals %
48.3%47.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3231
3-Point Field Goals Made
148
3-Point Field Goals %
43.8%25.8%
Free Throws Attempted
1519
Free Throws Made
1114
Free Throws %
73.3%73.7%
Offensive Rebounds
76
Defensive Rebounds
2625
Total Rebounds
3331
Assists
2520
Blocks
65
Turnovers
136
Steals
47
Personal Fouls
1914

Chances of winning


Phoenix Mercury
71.5%
Golden State Valkyries
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Golden State Valkyries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Golden State Valkyries than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.37)

    3.36
    (3.15)
    4.7%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 154.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Golden State will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -6.5, OT - Phoenix (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:74.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Phoenix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Phoenix is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 341:329. (average 85.3:82.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 165:161. (average 82.5:80.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries were as follows:
    19.08.2025 Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury 91:98
    14.07.2025 Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury 77:78
    05.06.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries 86:77
    11.05.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries 79:84
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    Latest results of Golden State Valkyries
    WNBA Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Las Vegas Aces W0000:00.000
    2Seattle Storm W0000:00.000
    3Los Angeles Sparks W0000:00.000
    4Minnesota Lynx W0000:00.000
    5Phoenix Mercury W0000:00.000
    6Dallas Wings W0000:00.000
    7Golden State Valkyries W0000:00.000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Connecticut Sun W0000:00.000
    2New York Liberty W0000:00.000
    3Indiana Fever W0000:00.000
    4Washington Mystics W0000:00.000
    5Chicago Sky W0000:00.000
    6Atlanta Dream W0000:00.000


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Las Vegas Aces W0000:00.000
    2Seattle Storm W0000:00.000
    3Connecticut Sun W0000:00.000
    4Los Angeles Sparks W0000:00.000
    5Minnesota Lynx W0000:00.000
    6New York Liberty W0000:00.000
    7Indiana Fever W0000:00.000
    8Phoenix Mercury W0000:00.000
    9Washington Mystics W0000:00.000
    10Chicago Sky W0000:00.000
    11Atlanta Dream W0000:00.000
    12Dallas Wings W0000:00.000
    13Portland W0000:00.000
    14Golden State Valkyries W0000:00.000
    15Toronto Tempo W0000:00.000

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