Result
3:2
29/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 82', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Independência 46.5% | Draw 27.1% | Grêmio Atlético Sampaio 26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independência has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Grêmio Atlético Sampaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independência than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independência that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Atlético Sampaio than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Independência - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↓ (2.17) |
3.37 ↓ (3.38) |
3.47 ↑ (3.08) |
9.5% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Independência has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- GAS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Independência may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Independência has had a series of away games.
- Independência could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independência won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Independência won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Independência won against Grêmio Atlético Sampaio?
Independência has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Atlético Sampaio won against Independência?
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independência - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio were as follows:
05.07.2025
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio
-
Independência
1:2
10.05.2025
Independência
-
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio
4:1
Latest results of Independência
Latest results of Grêmio Atlético Sampaio
Brazilian Copa Norte Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional-AM | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 13 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 3 | Guapore | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Trem | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Independencia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 6 | GAS | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aguia De Maraba | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Amazonas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Remo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Galvez | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 3 |
| 6 | Monte Roraima | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9:15 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Norte (Play Offs: Semi~finals)