Result
12/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Moquegua
43% | Draw
26.4% | Unión Comercio
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moquegua's performance.Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Comercio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moquegua that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Comercio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Moquegua - Unión Comercio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(3.05) |
3.44 ↑
(3.4) |
2.97 ↑
(2.12) |
10.2%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- Unión Comercio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Moquegua has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Moquegua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Unión Comercio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Moquegua won against Unión Comercio?
Moquegua has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Comercio won against Moquegua?
Unión Comercio has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moquegua - Unión Comercio were as follows:
06.07.2025
Unión Comercio
-
Moquegua
1:1
18.05.2025
Moquegua
-
Unión Comercio
1:0
Latest results of Moquegua
Latest results of Unión Comercio
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | FC Cajamarca | Bye | |
| 2 | Comerciantes | Cesar Vallejo | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Union Comercio | Bye | |
| 4 | Moquegua | ADA Jaen | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | FC Cajamarca | Cesar Vallejo | |
| 2 | Union Comercio | Moquegua | |
Final
