Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (179/272) | 69% (214/311) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (179/272) | 69% (214/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/61) | 31% (19/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (53/91) | 51% (42/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 2.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Chipao R. ⚽, Enciso C. (A),
- 40', Timana H. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, Mejia C. ⚽, Amasifuen N. (A),
- 62', Vega J. C. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 64', Chavez N. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
- 64', Lastre E. ↓, Davila A. ↑,
- 68', Meza C. 🟨,
- 73', Barcos H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 77', Enciso C. ↓, Lojas J. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽,
- 83', Perleche A. ↓, Montenegro E. ↑,
- 83', Zapata Y. ↓, Ruiz K. ↑,
- 90+4', Enciso S. ↓, Peralta S. ↑,
- 90+5', Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Moquegua
45.6% | Draw
29.1% | Cajamarca
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moquegua that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cajamarca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Moquegua - Cajamarca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.06) |
3.16 ↓
(3.51) |
3.75 ↑
(3.33) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Moquegua - Cajamarca?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Moquegua will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moquegua: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18).
- Recent performances by Moquegua have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cajamarca is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Moquegua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Moquegua could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Moquegua: Ruiz K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cajamarca: Gallardo J.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Moquegua won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moquegua won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Moquegua won against Cajamarca?
Moquegua has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Moquegua?
Cajamarca has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moquegua - Cajamarca were as follows:
02.11.2025
Cajamarca
-
Moquegua
2:0
26.10.2025
Moquegua
-
Cajamarca
2:1
06.09.2025
Cajamarca
-
Moquegua
2:1
02.08.2025
Moquegua
-
Cajamarca
2:0
Latest results of Moquegua
Latest results of Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
