Vancouver Whitecaps vs Valour: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Canadian Championship Vancouver Whitecaps - Valour
Result
2:1
09/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Ruch A. (Can)
Vancouver Whitecaps - Valour - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.750.24
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
163
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
90% (501/557)70% (155/223)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.750.24
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.07
Total shots
163
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
60
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
90% (501/557)70% (155/223)
Long passes
74% (23/31)32% (17/53)
Passes in final third
81% (174/215)48% (21/44)
Crosses
20% (5/25)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.05
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
1115
Tackles
67% (6/9)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4440
Clearances
1243
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.072.09
Goals prevented
-0.930.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Badwal J. , Berhalter S. ,
  • 53', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
  • 59', Fernandez Z. 🟨,
  • 61', Williams K. , Layne J. ,
  • 62', Venancio X. , Froese K. ,
  • 71', White B. , Sabbi E. ,
  • 71', Vite P. , Ngando J. ,
  • 73', Fernandez Z. , Romeo R. ,
  • 73', Antonoglou T. , Alarcon R. ,
  • 76', Ocampo E. , Laborda M. ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Sabbi E. , Veselinovic R. (A),
  • 85', Johnson T. , Blackmon T. ,
  • 86', Faria J. , Morgan M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Layne J. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Utvik B. ,

Chances of winning


Vancouver Whitecaps
72.8%
Draw
18%
Valour
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 20.1% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 17% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vancouver Whitecaps's performance.
  • Valour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vancouver Whitecaps that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valour than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valour could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps - Valour Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.34)
    5.11
    (4.5)
    9.98
    (7.32)
    8.9%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps - Valour?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
    • Vancouver has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Valour has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Valour may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vancouver is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Vancouver won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vancouver Whitecaps - Valour were as follows:
    20.05.2025 Valour - Vancouver Whitecaps 2:2
    Latest results of Vancouver Whitecaps
    Latest results of Valour
    01.07.2025 HFX Wanderers - Valour 3:1
    22.06.2025 Valour - Forge 0:5
    15.06.2025 Atlético Ottawa - Valour 3:0
    04.06.2025 Valour - Vancouver FC 3:1
    01.06.2025 Valour - Pacific FC 0:0
    Draw
    2025

    1/8-finals
    1Toronto FCCF Montreal2 : 3
    2ForgeHFX Wanderers3 : 1
    3Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    4ValourTSS Rovers1 : 0
    5CavalryEdmonton Scottish6 : 0
    6Pacific FCVancouver FC1 : 2
    7York UtdFC Laval5 : 0
    8Atl. OttawaScrosoppi2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1CF MontrealForge2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Vancouver WhitecapsValour2 : 1, 2 : 2
    3CavalryVancouver FC1 : 2, 1 : 1
    4York UtdAtl. Ottawa3 : 4, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1ForgeVancouver Whitecaps
    2Vancouver FCAtl. Ottawa

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Vancouver Whitecaps - Valour?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaOneSoccer
    usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
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