Junior Barranquilla vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/03/2026 at 20:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.35	1.39
Ball possession
66%	34%
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
7	3
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
12	4
Passes
77% (330/429)	66% (144/219)
Yellow cards
3	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.35	1.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.23	0.91
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
11	8
Shots outside the box
7	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
12	4
Touches in opposition box
31	18
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	3
Free kicks
12	10
Passes
77% (330/429)	66% (144/219)
Long passes
47% (21/45)	27% (15/55)
Passes in final third
69% (98/143)	52% (30/58)
Crosses
17% (5/30)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.47
Throw ins
22	17
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
100% (11/11)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
37	42
Clearances
13	35
Interceptions
6	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	6
xGOT faced
0.91	0.23
Goals prevented
-0.09	-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Barrios C. ⚽,
41', Suarez Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Munoz J. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
46', Esparragoza C. ↓, Cantillo F. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Lucumi C. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Muriel L. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
64', Rivas J. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
72', Cantillo F. 🟨,
79', Paiva G. ↓, Bacca C. ↑,
79', Barrios C. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
80', Guerrero J. 🟨,
80', Londono Y. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
81', Wallens J. 🟨,
83', Celis G. 🟨,
87', Suarez Y. ↓, Socarras D. ↑,
89', Castillo J. ↓, Meza Mercado E. W. ↑,
90', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
90+5', Lucumi C. ↓, Franco P. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/399yex38

Chances of winning

Junior Barranquilla
61.3%

Draw
24%

Alianza Valledupar
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

22.6%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

21.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1%)

Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	3.92 ↓ (4.12)	6.32 ↓ (6.5)	7.2% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 4.
Recent performances by Junior have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Alianza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Junior is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:12. (average 1.6:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Alianza Valledupar?

Junior Barranquilla has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Junior Barranquilla?

Alianza Valledupar has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:

12.10.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 0:1

19.04.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:0

04.08.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 2:2

04.02.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 0:1

14.09.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla 1:5

Latest results of Junior Barranquilla

28.02.2026 Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla 0:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla 2:1 ✺

18.02.2026 Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali 2:1 ✺

12.02.2026 Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla 2:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Junior Barranquilla - Boyacá Chicó 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Valledupar

28.02.2026 Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali 0:3 ✺

21.02.2026 Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar 3:0 ✺

17.02.2026 Alianza Valledupar - Cúcuta Deportivo 1:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas 1:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar 5:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	7	35
3	Dep. Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	4	34
4	America De Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	7	29
8	Inter Bogotu00e1	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Dep. Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	8	26
11	Ind. Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	2	26
12	Aguilas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares de Cordoba	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )