Náutico Marcílio Dias vs Brasil de Pelotas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas
Result
1:2
14/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
86
Total shots
119
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
86
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Felipe Baiano ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Náutico Marcílio Dias
65.5%
Draw
22.5%
Brasil de Pelotas
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 23.6% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 22.3% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.45)
    4.03
    (3.9)
    7.57
    (7.14)
    10.1%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).
    • Marcílio Dias is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Brasil de Pelotas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Marcílio Dias is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Marcílio Dias will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Marcílio Dias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Marcílio Dias 1:2
    Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
    Latest results of Brasil de Pelotas
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2