Guarany de Bagé vs Brasil de Pelotas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Serie D - Round 10

Match Stats


Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
9	4
Shots on target
5	2
Corner Kicks
1	2
Total shots
9	4
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
4	2
Corner Kicks
1	2
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Marcio Jonatan (Pen),

Chances of winning

Guarany de Bagé
46.1%

Draw
28.9%

Brasil de Pelotas
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

27.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarany de Bagé's form might have worsened.

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarany de Bagé, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guarany de Bagé - Brasil de Pelotas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.7)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	3.62 ↓ (4.4)	10.7% (11%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 5).
Guarany de Bagé is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Brasil de Pelotas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Guarany de Bagé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Guarany de Bagé is the team to beat.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Brasil de Pelotas?

Guarany de Bagé has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brasil de Pelotas won against Guarany de Bagé?

Brasil de Pelotas has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guarany de Bagé - Brasil de Pelotas were as follows:

18.05.2025 Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé 0:0

25.01.2025 Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé 0:0

11.02.2024 Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé 1:1

Latest results of Guarany de Bagé

21.06.2025 Barra Santa Catarina - Guarany de Bagé 3:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Guarany de Bagé - Azuriz 0:1 ✺

01.06.2025 Guarany de Bagé - Barra Santa Catarina 0:2 ✺

25.05.2025 Azuriz - Guarany de Bagé 0:0 ✺

18.05.2025 Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Brasil de Pelotas

14.06.2025 Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas 1:2 ✺

08.06.2025 Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville 1:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Joinville - Brasil de Pelotas 1:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Marcílio Dias 1:2 ✺

18.05.2025 Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé 0:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie D Table

2026

Group 1

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nacional-AM	4	3	0	1	8:6	2	9
2	Manauara	4	2	2	0	7:3	4	8
3	Sao Raimundo RR	4	2	2	0	4:1	3	8
4	Manaus	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
5	Monte Roraima	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2
6	GAS	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Group 2

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guapore	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
2	Araguaina	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8
3	Porto Velho	4	2	0	2	10:4	6	6
4	Galvez	4	2	0	2	4:7	-3	6
5	Independencia	4	1	1	2	5:4	1	4
6	Humaita	4	0	0	4	2:12	-10	0

Group 3

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gama	4	3	1	0	6:1	5	10
2	Luverdense	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
3	Aparecidense	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6
4	Brasiliense	4	1	3	0	3:2	1	6
5	Primavera AC	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
6	Inhumas	4	0	0	4	2:8	-6	0

Group 4

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Goiatuba	4	3	1	0	5:2	3	10
2	Capital	4	3	0	1	4:2	2	9
3	Mixto	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
4	Uniao Rondonopolis	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
5	Ceilandia	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4
6	Operario VG	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1

Group 5

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Trem	4	2	2	0	7:4	3	8
2	Aguia De Maraba	4	1	3	0	6:4	2	6
3	Imperatriz	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6
4	Tuna Luso	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
5	Oratorio	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3
6	Tocantinopolis	4	0	2	2	3:7	-4	2

Group 6

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Iguatu	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
2	Maracana	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
3	Moto Club	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
4	Parnahyba	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
5	Sampaio Correa	3	0	2	1	0:1	-1	2
6	IAPE	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2

Group 7

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Fluminense-PI	4	2	2	0	7:3	4	8
2	Piaui	4	2	1	1	8:6	2	7
3	Ferroviario	4	2	1	1	6:4	2	7
4	AE Altos	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
5	Atletico-CE	4	0	3	1	1:3	-2	3
6	Tirol	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2

Group 8

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	ABC	4	3	0	1	7:4	3	9
2	America RN	4	3	0	1	5:2	3	9
3	Central SC	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
4	Maguary	4	2	0	2	5:3	2	6
5	Sousa	4	1	0	3	2:5	-3	3
6	Laguna RN	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Group 9

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Treze PB	4	2	1	1	11:7	4	7
2	Sergipe	4	2	1	1	7:6	1	7
3	Serra Branca	4	1	3	0	7:4	3	6
4	Lagarto	4	1	1	2	8:10	-2	4
5	Retro	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4
6	Decisao	4	1	1	2	5:8	-3	4

Group 10

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juazeirense	4	4	0	0	9:3	6	12
2	CSA	4	2	1	1	8:4	4	7
3	ASA	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
4	CSE	4	1	1	2	5:7	-2	4
5	Jacuipense	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4
6	Alagoinhas	4	0	0	4	2:8	-6	0

Group 11

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Uberlandia	4	3	0	1	6:3	3	9
2	Ivinhema	4	3	0	1	6:4	2	9
3	Betim	4	2	1	1	5:4	1	7
4	CRAC	4	1	1	2	3:3	0	4
5	Operario MS	4	0	3	1	2:4	-2	3
6	Ouvidorense	4	0	1	3	1:5	-4	1

Group 12

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tombense	4	2	1	1	4:1	3	7
2	Rio Branco ES	4	2	1	1	7:5	2	7
3	Democrata GV	4	2	1	1	3:2	1	7
4	Vitoria ES	4	2	0	2	7:4	3	6
5	Porto-BA	4	2	0	2	4:8	-4	6
6	Real Noroeste	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Group 13

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Portuguesa RJ	4	2	2	0	7:1	6	8
2	Portuguesa	4	2	2	0	6:2	4	8
3	Agua Santa	4	2	0	2	7:4	3	6
4	Madureira	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
5	America RJ	4	1	1	2	4:11	-7	4
6	Pouso Alegre	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3

Group 14

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Piracicaba	4	2	2	0	8:4	4	8
2	Velo Clube	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
3	Marica	4	2	1	1	5:4	1	7
4	Sampaio Correa FE	4	2	1	1	4:4	0	7
5	Noroeste	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
6	Nova Iguacu	4	0	1	3	2:7	-5	1

Group 15

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Joinville	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
2	Cascavel	4	2	1	1	3:1	2	7
3	Cianorte	4	2	0	2	5:4	1	6
4	Sao Luiz	4	1	2	1	5:6	-1	5
5	Santa Catarina	4	1	1	2	6:7	-1	4
6	Guarany de Bage	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Group 16

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Blumenau	4	4	0	0	8:2	6	12
2	Brasil de Pelotas	4	2	1	1	6:4	2	7
3	Sao Joseense	4	2	1	1	2:2	0	7
4	Marcilio Dias	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
5	Azuriz	4	0	1	3	1:4	-3	1
6	EC Sao Jose	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)