São Luiz vs Náutico Marcílio Dias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias
Result
3:0
07/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
38
Total shots
125
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
38
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Da Silva ,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Da Silva ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 3 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


São Luiz
27.8%
Draw
35.1%
Náutico Marcílio Dias
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 26.3% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 25.8% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Luiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Marcílio Dias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Marcílio Dias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.95)
    2.57
    (3.44)
    2.44
    (2.1)
    10.7%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Recent performances by São Luiz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Marcílio Dias is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Marcílio Dias could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Luiz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Luiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
    02.06.2025 Náutico Marcílio Dias - São Luiz 3:0
    Latest results of São Luiz
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2