São Luiz vs EC São José Porto Alegre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio 19 de Outubro (Ijuí).

Serie D - Round 10

Match Stats


Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
6	10
Corner Kicks
11	4
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
6	10
Shots off target
6	2
Corner Kicks
11	4
Goalkeeper Saves
8	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Nonato ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Douglas Oliveira ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Da Silva ⚽,

Chances of winning

São Luiz
39.7%

Draw
30.2%

EC São José Porto Alegre
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.1%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC São José Porto Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.55)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	3.01 ↑ (2.45)	10.5% (11.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Luiz will win (votes: 2 - 50%). EC São José will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - EC São José (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): São Luiz will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. São Luiz (votes: 2 - 66.7%). EC São José (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Luiz won 0.
São Luiz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
EC São José is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, São Luiz won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, São Luiz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has São Luiz won against EC São José Porto Alegre?

São Luiz has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has EC São José Porto Alegre won against São Luiz?

EC São José Porto Alegre has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre were as follows:

18.05.2025 EC São José Porto Alegre - São Luiz 3:0

25.01.2025 São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:1

20.01.2024 EC São José Porto Alegre - São Luiz 1:1

27.02.2023 EC São José Porto Alegre - São Luiz 1:0

Latest results of São Luiz

14.06.2025 Joinville - São Luiz 2:1 ✺

07.06.2025 São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias 3:0 ✺

02.06.2025 Náutico Marcílio Dias - São Luiz 3:0 ✺

26.05.2025 São Luiz - Joinville 0:1 ✺

18.05.2025 EC São José Porto Alegre - São Luiz 3:0 ✺

Latest results of EC São José Porto Alegre

14.06.2025 EC São José Porto Alegre - Barra Santa Catarina 3:3 ✺

08.06.2025 Azuriz - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:3 ✺

31.05.2025 EC São José Porto Alegre - Azuriz 1:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Barra Santa Catarina - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:1 ✺

18.05.2025 EC São José Porto Alegre - São Luiz 3:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie D Table

2026

Group 1

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nacional-AM	4	3	0	1	8:6	2	9
2	Manauara	4	2	2	0	7:3	4	8
3	Sao Raimundo RR	4	2	2	0	4:1	3	8
4	Manaus	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
5	Monte Roraima	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2
6	GAS	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Group 2

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guapore	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
2	Araguaina	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8
3	Porto Velho	4	2	0	2	10:4	6	6
4	Galvez	4	2	0	2	4:7	-3	6
5	Independencia	4	1	1	2	5:4	1	4
6	Humaita	4	0	0	4	2:12	-10	0

Group 3

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gama	4	3	1	0	6:1	5	10
2	Luverdense	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
3	Aparecidense	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6
4	Brasiliense	4	1	3	0	3:2	1	6
5	Primavera AC	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
6	Inhumas	4	0	0	4	2:8	-6	0

Group 4

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Goiatuba	4	3	1	0	5:2	3	10
2	Capital	4	3	0	1	4:2	2	9
3	Mixto	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
4	Uniao Rondonopolis	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
5	Ceilandia	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4
6	Operario VG	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1

Group 5

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Trem	4	2	2	0	7:4	3	8
2	Aguia De Maraba	4	1	3	0	6:4	2	6
3	Imperatriz	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6
4	Tuna Luso	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
5	Oratorio	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3
6	Tocantinopolis	4	0	2	2	3:7	-4	2

Group 6

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Iguatu	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
2	Maracana	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
3	Moto Club	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
4	Parnahyba	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
5	Sampaio Correa	3	0	2	1	0:1	-1	2
6	IAPE	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2

Group 7

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Fluminense-PI	4	2	2	0	7:3	4	8
2	Piaui	4	2	1	1	8:6	2	7
3	Ferroviario	4	2	1	1	6:4	2	7
4	AE Altos	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
5	Atletico-CE	4	0	3	1	1:3	-2	3
6	Tirol	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2

Group 8

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	ABC	4	3	0	1	7:4	3	9
2	America RN	4	3	0	1	5:2	3	9
3	Central SC	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
4	Maguary	4	2	0	2	5:3	2	6
5	Sousa	4	1	0	3	2:5	-3	3
6	Laguna RN	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Group 9

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Treze PB	4	2	1	1	11:7	4	7
2	Sergipe	4	2	1	1	7:6	1	7
3	Serra Branca	4	1	3	0	7:4	3	6
4	Lagarto	4	1	1	2	8:10	-2	4
5	Retro	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4
6	Decisao	4	1	1	2	5:8	-3	4

Group 10

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juazeirense	4	4	0	0	9:3	6	12
2	CSA	4	2	1	1	8:4	4	7
3	ASA	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
4	CSE	4	1	1	2	5:7	-2	4
5	Jacuipense	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4
6	Alagoinhas	4	0	0	4	2:8	-6	0

Group 11

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Uberlandia	4	3	0	1	6:3	3	9
2	Ivinhema	4	3	0	1	6:4	2	9
3	Betim	4	2	1	1	5:4	1	7
4	CRAC	4	1	1	2	3:3	0	4
5	Operario MS	4	0	3	1	2:4	-2	3
6	Ouvidorense	4	0	1	3	1:5	-4	1

Group 12

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tombense	4	2	1	1	4:1	3	7
2	Rio Branco ES	4	2	1	1	7:5	2	7
3	Democrata GV	4	2	1	1	3:2	1	7
4	Vitoria ES	4	2	0	2	7:4	3	6
5	Porto-BA	4	2	0	2	4:8	-4	6
6	Real Noroeste	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Group 13

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Portuguesa RJ	4	2	2	0	7:1	6	8
2	Portuguesa	4	2	2	0	6:2	4	8
3	Agua Santa	4	2	0	2	7:4	3	6
4	Madureira	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
5	America RJ	4	1	1	2	4:11	-7	4
6	Pouso Alegre	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3

Group 14

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Piracicaba	4	2	2	0	8:4	4	8
2	Velo Clube	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
3	Marica	4	2	1	1	5:4	1	7
4	Sampaio Correa FE	4	2	1	1	4:4	0	7
5	Noroeste	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
6	Nova Iguacu	4	0	1	3	2:7	-5	1

Group 15

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Joinville	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
2	Cascavel	4	2	1	1	3:1	2	7
3	Cianorte	4	2	0	2	5:4	1	6
4	Sao Luiz	4	1	2	1	5:6	-1	5
5	Santa Catarina	4	1	1	2	6:7	-1	4
6	Guarany de Bage	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Group 16

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Blumenau	4	4	0	0	8:2	6	12
2	Brasil de Pelotas	4	2	1	1	6:4	2	7
3	Sao Joseense	4	2	1	1	2:2	0	7
4	Marcilio Dias	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
5	Azuriz	4	0	1	3	1:4	-3	1
6	EC Sao Jose	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)