Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        09/10/2025 at  20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie B Superbet - Round 31
- Referee: Filho A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.30 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 48% | 52% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 12 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 77% (219/284) | 78% (239/308) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.30 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.94 | 3.29 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 10 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 10 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 12 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 15 | 34 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 10 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 77% (219/284) | 78% (239/308) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 38% (22/58) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 65% (86/133) | 61% (68/112) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 32% (10/31) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.16 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 25 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 10 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 35% (6/17) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 42 | 59 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 47 | 38 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 0 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 7 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 3.29 | 0.94 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 2.29 | -1.07 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Marcelinho 🟨, 
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Marcelinho ⚽, Kayky Almeida (A), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Patrick ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑, 
- 46', Fernando ↓, Leo Derik ↑, 
- 61', Mendoza S. 🟨, 
- 62', Diego Hernandez ↓, Pedro Rocha ↑, 
- 65', 1 - 1, Dudu Kogitzki ⚽, Luiz Fernando (A), 
- 71', Tachtsidis P. ↓, Nathan ↑, 
- 71', Kayky Almeida ↓, Tassano C. ↑, 
- 73', 2 - 1, Caio Vinicius ⚽, Marcelinho (A), 
- 74', Mendoza S. ↓, Leozinho ↑, 
- 77', Savio ↓, Jorge ↑, 
- 77', Nathan Camargo ↓, Pedro Castro ↑, 
- 86', Luiz Fernando ↓, Alan Kardec ↑, 
- 86', Zapelli B. ↓, Velasco K. ↑, 
- 87', Pedro Rocha (Pen), 
- 90+5', Velasco K. 🟨, 
- 90+9', Tassano C. 🟨, 
- 90+9', Aguirre Tabares J. F. 🟨, 
- 90+11',  🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Remo 25.8%
 | Draw 30.3%
 | Athletico Paranaense 43.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Remo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Remo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Remo - Athletico Paranaense Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.57 ↑ (3.2)
 | 3.07 ↓ (3.2)
 | 2.14 ↓ (2.2)
 | 7.5% (8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Remo - Athletico Paranaense?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            11 users predict this event. Remo will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).
- Remo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Athletico PR is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Athletico PR might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Remo: Eduardo Melo
(Injury)
Pedro Rocha
(Inactive)
Regis
(Inactive)
Reynaldo
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Isaac
(Inactive)
Leo
(Red Card)
Teran C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Remo: Marcelo Rangel
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Remo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Remo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Remo won against Athletico Paranaense?
                    
                    
                        
                            Remo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Remo?
                    
                    
                        
                             Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Remo - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
                                                        
                                14.06.2025 
                                Athletico Paranaense 
                                - 
                                Remo 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Athletico Paranaense                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Coritiba | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 35:21 | 14 | 60 | 
| 2 | Remo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 57 | 
| 3 | Goias | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 55 | 
| 4 | Novorizontino | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 55 | 
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 | 
| 6 | Criciuma | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 44:32 | 12 | 54 | 
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 50 | 
| 8 | Cuiaba | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 50 | 
| 9 | CRB | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 39:34 | 5 | 48 | 
| 10 | Avai | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 | 
| 11 | Atletico GO | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 48 | 
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:34 | -2 | 43 | 
| 13 | Operario-PR | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 42 | 
| 14 | America MG | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 | 
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 | 
| 16 | Athletic Club | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 | 
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 35 | 
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 34 | 
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 | 
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 27 | 
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