Result
2:0
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (357/417) | 84% (267/317) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (357/417) | 84% (267/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (29/58) | 57% (27/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (90/113) | 68% (52/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/32) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Bolasie Y. 🟨,
- 45+2', Julimar 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Portilla J. ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 53', Julimar ↓, Bruninho ↑,
- 56', Bolasie Y. ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Mendoza S. ⚽,
- 61', Neto Pessoa 🟨,
- 61', Eduardo Doma 🟨,
- 62', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 68', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
- 69', Italo ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
- 69', Enio ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 71', Zapelli B. 🟨,
- 78', Joao Vitor ↓, Rafael Carvalheira ↑,
- 78', Higor Meritao ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 81', 2 - 0, Viveros K. ⚽, Joao Cruz (A),
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
63.8% | Draw
22.4% | Chapecoense
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.52) |
4.19 ↑
(3.9) |
6.94 ↑
(5.8) |
5.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Athletico PR (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Chapecoense has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Athletico PR is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Chiqueti
(Illness)
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Everton
(Yellow Cards)
Mauricio Garcez
(Hamstring Injury)
Robert Conceicao
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Teran C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Everton
(Injury)
Giovanni Augusto
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 4 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Chapecoense?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Athletico Paranaense?
Chapecoense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense were as follows:
16.09.2025
Chapecoense
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:3
08.05.2025
Athletico Paranaense
-
Chapecoense
1:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
