Klubi 04 vs IFK Mariehamn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Cup Klubi 04 - IFK Mariehamn
Result
4:3
11/06/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Suomen Cup - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Noori H. (Pen),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Lundberg A. ,
  • 41', Heyden J. 🟨,
  • 43', Toivonen I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Huttunen A. , Reid J. ,
  • 46', Cardoso H. , Adedoyin K. ,
  • 46', Heyden J. , Holmberg R. ,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Peterson M. (Own goal),
  • 61', Noori H. 🟨,
  • 61', Kujasalo N. , Dahlstrom S. ,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Ameen M. ,
  • 65', Etu F. , Kajanoja K. ,
  • 65', Noori H. , Toivonen A. ,
  • 65', Lahti R. , Traore A. ,
  • 69', Fonsell M. 🟨,
  • 73', Rippon L. 🟨,
  • 73', Jansson M. , Olawale M. ,
  • 78', Adedoyin K. 🟨,
  • 83', Holmberg R. 🟨,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Rippon L. ,
  • 90+2', Rippon L. , Ingman E. ,
  • 90+2', Ameen M. , Nwachukwu F. ,
  • 90+6', 4 - 2, Reid J. (Pen),
  • 90+8', 4 - 3, Reid J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Klubi 04
20.9%
Draw
21.2%
IFK Mariehamn
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 24.7% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 24.1% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Klubi 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Klubi 04's form might have worsened.
  • IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IFK Mariehamn's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Klubi 04 than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Klubi 04, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-22.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IFK Mariehamn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Klubi 04 - IFK Mariehamn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.39
    (2.35)
    4.33
    (3.7)
    1.59
    (2.5)
    8.9%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Klubi 04 - IFK Mariehamn?
  • Users Predictions: IFK Mariehamn will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): IFK Mariehamn will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Klubi 04 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mariehamn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Mariehamn is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Klubi 04 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
    Latest results of Klubi 04
    01.06.2025 KaPa - Klubi 04 0:5
    29.05.2025 Klubi 04 - EsPa 8:2
    25.05.2025 Klubi 04 - PK-35 Vantaa 1:1
    21.05.2025 JIPPO - Klubi 04 0:3
    18.05.2025 Klubi 04 - TPS 3:1
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    31.05.2025 KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn 2:2
    28.05.2025 IFK Mariehamn - TPS 3:2
    24.05.2025 IFK Mariehamn - HJK 0:4
    17.05.2025 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 0:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1GillaValtti2 : 1
    2KelA AkatemiaKlubi 040 : 10
    3EsPa 2EsPa0 : 6
    4PonnistajatPPJ0 : 4
    5LPSKeski-Uusimaa2 : 1
    6GrIFKMariehamn1 : 2
    7MuSaIlves 23 : 5
    8Tampere UtdTPS0 : 3
    9PoPoEdustus IPS2 : 0
    10KuPS AkatemiaJJK Jyvaskyla4 : 3
    11Lahden ReipasLahti2 : 1
    12SohoMikkeli0 : 3
    13HJKBye
    15JaPS AkatemiaKiffen0 : 5
    16FuturaJaPS0 : 7
    17Santa ClausHercules1 : 4
    18PonPaAC Oulu1 : 3
    19VJSEPS2 : 0
    20Toukolan TerasNJS2 : 3
    21NuPSHJS0 : 2
    22JyTySalPa1 : 2
    23ToBKPoxyt1 : 2
    24TiPSPK-350 : 6
    25SJKBye
    27EPS 2Atlantis1 : 4
    28HPSKaPa0 : 4
    29VPVKPV Kokkola0 : 10
    30JBKRovaniemi0 : 1
    31MuurYJIPPO0 : 6
    32Lahti/69KTP1 : 5
    33Huima / UrhoLAUTP4 : 0
    34ToUHaka0 : 8
    35KeuPaUnion Plaani1 : 2
    36VaajakoskiPEPO4 : 2
    37Toolon TaistoJaPS 21 : 2
    38Gnistan/M35Gnistan0 : 5
    40ByeIlves
    41Polin PalloRiPS2 : 5
    42LTUJazz Pori0 : 3
    43OTPVPS 21 : 8
    44LapuaGBK Kokkola2 : 5
    45KangasalaSalPa 20 : 2
    46Tampere Utd 3TPV0 : 7
    48ByeKuPS
    49NiemUMyPa1 : 0
    50KyparamakiHAPK0 : 2
    51KiistoOLS Oulu0 : 2
    52SJK U21SJK Akatemia0 : 3
    53Honka 3EBK1 : 2
    54KontuHonka0 : 9
    55TuiskuEkenas0 : 6
    56LastenInter Turku0 : 4
    57VIFKJaro2 : 3
    58HauPaKajaanin Haka4 : 1
    59VJS 2PuiU1 : 3
    60HIFKAtlantis 23 : 2
    61AboNoPS2 : 0
    62MaPSP-Iirot Rauma1 : 2
    63HarmaTampere Utd 21 : 3
    64TP-TVPS0 : 5

    1/32-finals
    1GillaKlubi 040 : 6
    2EsPaPPJ1 : 0
    3LPSMariehamn0 : 1
    4Ilves 2TPS1 : 3
    5PoPoKuPS Akatemia2 : 3
    6Lahden ReipasMikkeli0 : 1
    7HJKBye
    8KiffenJaPS0 : 6
    9HerculesAC Oulu1 : 5
    10VJSNJS2 : 0
    11HJSSalPa2 : 1
    12PoxytPK-350 : 3
    13SJKBye
    14AtlantisKaPa2 : 1
    15KPV KokkolaRovaniemi2 : 1
    16JIPPOKTP1 : 2
    17Huima / UrhoHaka0 : 4
    18Union PlaaniVaajakoski2 : 0
    19JaPS 2Gnistan0 : 3
    20ByeIlves
    21RiPSJazz Pori0 : 2
    22VPS 2GBK Kokkola0 : 1
    23SalPa 2TPV0 : 4
    24ByeKuPS
    25NiemUHAPK1 : 2
    26OLS OuluSJK Akatemia4 : 3
    27EBKHonka1 : 3
    28EkenasInter Turku2 : 1
    29JaroHauPa7 : 0
    30PuiUHIFK0 : 2
    31AboP-Iirot Rauma4 : 6
    32Tampere Utd 2VPS1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Klubi 04EsPa8 : 2
    2MariehamnTPS3 : 2
    3KuPS AkatemiaMikkeli1 : 4
    4HJKJaPS2 : 1
    5AC OuluVJS2 : 1
    6HJSPK-350 : 1
    7SJKAtlantis3 : 2
    8KPV KokkolaKTP2 : 0
    9HakaUnion Plaani6 : 0
    10GnistanIlves3 : 0
    11Jazz PoriGBK Kokkola3 : 2
    12TPVKuPS0 : 2
    13HAPKOLS Oulu1 : 4
    14HonkaEkenas0 : 1
    15JaroHIFK5 : 0
    16P-Iirot RaumaVPS1 : 5

    1/8-finals
    1Klubi 04Mariehamn4 : 3
    2MikkeliHJK0 : 1
    3AC OuluPK-352 : 1
    4SJKKPV Kokkola7 : 0
    5HakaGnistan3 : 2
    6Jazz PoriKuPS2 : 6
    7OLS OuluEkenas0 : 1
    8JaroVPS3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Klubi 04HJK0 : 4
    2AC OuluSJK2 : 0
    3HakaKuPS1 : 2
    4EkenasJaro2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1HJKAC Oulu
    2KuPSJaro

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2