Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/467) | 77% (331/432) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 22 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 60 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/467) | 77% (331/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (34/57) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (139/185) | 64% (67/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (17/19) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Stroud A. ↓, Amankwah Y. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Yli-Kokko J. ↓, Tuominen J. ↑,
- 62', Botue J. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
- 62', Ulundu V. ↓, Huovila V. ↑,
- 66', Huttunen A. ↓, Pearce L. ↑,
- 73', Kiiskila E. ↓, Laine J. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Conteh A. ⚽, Niska J. (A),
- 80', Laine J. 🟨,
- 84', Soiniemi A. ↓, Hyvonen M. ↑,
- 90+1', Essomba L. ↓, Jephta C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Inter Turku
69.7% | Draw
19.3% | IFK Mariehamn
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+1%)
Inter Turku - IFK Mariehamn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.37) |
4.98 ↑
(4.96) |
8.37 ↑
(7.34) |
6.1%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Turku won 3.
- Inter Turku has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mariehamn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Inter Turku may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Inter Turku has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Inter Turku is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Inter Turku will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter Turku won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:14. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Inter Turku won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:5. (average 1.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Turku won against IFK Mariehamn?
Inter Turku has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against Inter Turku?
IFK Mariehamn has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Turku - IFK Mariehamn were as follows:
24.01.2026
Inter Turku
-
IFK Mariehamn
1:0
02.07.2025
Inter Turku
-
IFK Mariehamn
0:0
10.05.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
Inter Turku
2:2
26.01.2025
Inter Turku
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:0
06.10.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
Inter Turku
0:1
Latest results of Inter Turku
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | HJK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | TPS | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lahti | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | VPS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | SJK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Jaro | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Mariehamn | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | Ilves | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
