Result
2:1
21/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Lopez P. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (127/197) | 78% (245/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (127/197) | 78% (245/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 33% (15/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 61% (56/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Ataupillco J. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Perez Azambuya E. M. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
- 28', Caro D. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Ugarriza A. (Pen),
- 45+11', Canales E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Ataupillco J. ↓, Bilbao J. ↑,
- 56', Caro D. ↓, Tamariz A. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Valencia J. (Own goal),
- 64', Ramirez D. ↓, Rios M. ↑,
- 74', Naya E. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
- 85', Sandoval K. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
- 86', Ugarriza A. 🟨,
- 86', Beltran C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Paucar E. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
- 90+1', Ganoza M. ↓, Medina F. ↑,
- 90+1', Ugarriza A. ↓, Valer J. F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso
64% | Draw
22.8% | Ayacucho
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Garcilaso's performance.Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.62) |
4.04 ↑
(4) |
7.16 ↑
(5.25) |
6.5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho?
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Garcilaso will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the obvious favorite.
- There are questionable in Ayacucho: Bilbao J.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Ayacucho?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Ayacucho has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho were as follows:
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Cusco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Alianza Huanuco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Grau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
