Result
0:0
25/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (237/296) | 83% (359/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (237/296) | 83% (359/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (44/78) | 62% (71/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Arancibia F. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
- 33', Campos D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Canales E. 🟨,
- 55', Oncoy F. 🟨,
- 62', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 67', Gomez N. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
- 67', Naya E. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 70', Ramirez E. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
- 77', Canales E. ↓, Portales J. ↑,
- 78', Sandoval K. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
- 85', Vasquez A. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 86', Oncoy F. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 90', Quintero J. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 90+1', Vega J. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso
63.8% | Draw
21.8% | Cajamarca
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.49) |
4.31 ↑
(4.1) |
6.41 ↑
(5.2) |
6.7%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Cajamarca (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 18).
- Deportivo Garcilaso is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cajamarca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Cajamarca?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Cajamarca has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca were as follows:
03.05.2025
Cajamarca
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:1
12.07.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cajamarca
1:0
26.01.2024
Cajamarca
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
03.09.2023
Cajamarca
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
0:0
16.04.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cajamarca
2:2
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Latest results of Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
