Result
 
                    0:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        24/10/2025 at  16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 16
 
                                                - Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.74 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 60% | 40% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 83% (367/440) | 74% (228/307) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.74 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.86 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 6 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 7 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 23 | 7 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 83% (367/440) | 74% (228/307) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 58% (48/83) | 42% (28/67) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 68% (98/145) | 58% (41/71) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 18% (7/40) | 29% (4/14) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.40 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 18 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 12 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 71% (12/17) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 52 | 60 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 11 | 53 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.28 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.14 | 1.28 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
 - 33', 0 - 1, Guzman W. ⚽, Marina J. (A), 
 - 43', Alfaro Martinez G. E. 🟨, 
 - 45', Tizon C. (Pen), 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 55', Ramirez C. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑, 
 - 56', Rodriguez N. ↓, Affonso M. ↑, 
 - 65', Affonso M. 🟨, 
 - 67', Rojas A. ↓, Villar E. ↑, 
 - 68', Parodi J. ↓, Paredes G. ↑, 
 - 68', Marina J. ↓, Chipao R. ↑, 
 - 78', Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↓, Garcia L. ↑, 
 - 80', Loyola N. ↓, Agurto F. ↑, 
 - 89', Toledo J. 🟨, 
 - 90+3', Sen M. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑, 
 - 90+3', Marchioni J. ↓, Paico K. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Juan Pablo II College  52.1% | Draw  27.2% | Comerciantes Unidos  20.7% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Unidos Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.79 ↑ (1.64) | 
			   3.48 ↓ (3.73) | 
			   4.46 ↓ (4.83) | 
			   7% (8.5%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Unidos?
                    
                    
                        
						        
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Comerciantes Unidos (1.89) (votes: 3 - 100%). 
 
                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                      
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
 - Juan Pablo II has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
 - Comerciantes Unidos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  - In this match, Juan Pablo II is a strong favorite.
 - There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Canova J.
(Injury)
Fernandez F.
(Injury)
 - There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Lecaros A.
(Injury)
 - In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo II College won against Comerciantes Unidos?
                    
                    
                        
                            Juan Pablo II College has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Juan Pablo II College?
                    
                    
                        
                             Comerciantes Unidos has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
                                                        
                                22.06.2025 
                                Comerciantes Unidos 
                                - 
                                Juan Pablo II College 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Juan Pablo II College                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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