Result
 
                    0:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        01/10/2025 at  19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
 
                                                - Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.32 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 33% | 67% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 16 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 52% (116/225) | 75% (341/452) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.32 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.19 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 16 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 1 | 12 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 8 | 30 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 15 | 11 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 52% (116/225) | 75% (341/452) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 29% (25/85) | 51% (47/92) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 44% (32/73) | 63% (111/175) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 21% (6/28) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.46 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 12 | 28 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 11 | 15 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 71% (10/14) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 45 | 67 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 49 | 24 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 10 | 13 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.00 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.81 | 0.00 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 2nd Half (0 - 2)
 - 65', Murrugarra J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑, 
 - 65', Inga C. ↓, Carabali J. ↑, 
 - 65', Flores E. ↓, Rivera J. ↑, 
 - 67', Vasquez C. ↓, Olmedo L. ↑, 
 - 67', Perez J. ↓, Perleche E. ↑, 
 - 69', Castro R. 🟨, 
 - 69', 0 - 1, Perez M. ⚽, 
 - 73', Perez M. 🟨, 
 - 74', Perez M. ↓, Velez J. ↑, 
 - 76', Fernandez S. 🟨, 
 - 81', Lupu H. ↓, Flores F. ↑, 
 - 82', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Perez M. ↑, 
 - 87', 0 - 2, Rivera J. ⚽, Concha J. (A), 
 - 88', Gordillo A. ↓, Cossio A. ↑, 
 - 88', Valera A. ↓, Diego Churin ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Alianza Atlético  15.6% | Draw  25.7% | Universitario de Deportes  58.7% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   5.87 ↑ (3.75) | 
			   3.66 ↑ (3.32) | 
			   1.63 ↓ (2) | 
			   5.8% (6.8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            12 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 50.5% – 99.5%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
 - Alianza Atlético is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
 - Uni de Deportes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
 - Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - In this match, Uni de Deportes is a strong favorite.
 - There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Costa G.
(Inactive)
 - In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:39. (average 1:2.1).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Universitario de Deportes?
                    
                    
                        
                            Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Alianza Atlético?
                    
                    
                        
                             Universitario de Deportes has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
                                                        
                                11.05.2025 
                                Universitario de Deportes 
                                - 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                15.09.2024 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                - 
                                Universitario de Deportes 
                                0:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.04.2024 
                                Universitario de Deportes 
                                - 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.07.2023 
                                Universitario de Deportes 
                                - 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                14.05.2023 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                - 
                                Universitario de Deportes 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alianza Atlético                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Universitario de Deportes                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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