Result
2:3
17/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | ESPN, ESPN Premium |
Bolivia | ESPN |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (381/468) | 61% (115/188) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.10 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 54 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (381/468) | 61% (115/188) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (44/67) | 33% (17/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (117/165) | 51% (24/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (18/58) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 67% (16/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 5.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.45 | 3.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 1 - 0, Estigarribia M. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Mansilla M. (Own goal),
- 32', Regiardo L. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 2, Russo J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Herrera L. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 46', Cuello B. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
- 62', Profini R. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
- 65', Guch F. ↓, Noguera F. ↑,
- 65', Mendez A. ↓, Ortega M. ↑,
- 67', Russo J. 🟨,
- 69', Vargas L. 🟨,
- 76', Scarpeccio F. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 3, Ramirez I. ⚽,
- 78', Ortega M. 🟨,
- 81', Pitton M. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 3, Menossi L. ⚽,
- 90', Mazzantti W. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,
- 90', Rodriguez M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
- 90+4', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Palacios J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Unión Santa Fe 55.5% | Draw 27.5% | Newells Old Boys 17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↑ (1.58) |
3.43 ↓ (3.5) |
5.47 ↓ (6) |
6.2% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- EH -2 - Newells Old Boys (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Newells Old Boys (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Newells Old Boys (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Newells Old Boys (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Newells Old Boys (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Newells Old Boys (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Newells Old Boys (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Newells Old Boys (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Newells Old Boys (4.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- DNB - Newells Old Boys (4.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Unión Santa Fe will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Unión is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Unión: Diaz D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Acuna V.
(Inactive)
Arias G.
(Broken calfbone)
Cabrera B.
(Injury)
Goitea N.
(Inactive)
Montero A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Unión: Paz N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Coccaro M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Newells Old Boys?
Unión Santa Fe has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newells Old Boys won against Unión Santa Fe?
Newells Old Boys has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
31.10.2025
Newells Old Boys
-
Unión Santa Fe
0:1
18.04.2025
Unión Santa Fe
-
Newells Old Boys
1:1
01.11.2024
Unión Santa Fe
-
Newells Old Boys
2:0
09.02.2024
Unión Santa Fe
-
Newells Old Boys
1:3
16.09.2023
Newells Old Boys
-
Unión Santa Fe
1:1
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Latest results of Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo ✔ | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano ✔ | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. ✔ | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)