Lanús vs Newells Old Boys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
17/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.430.11
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
72
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
70
Passes
91% (513/565)84% (271/322)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
2.430.11
xG on target (xGOT)
3.860.10
Total shots
145
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
122
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
288
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free kicks
712
Passes
91% (513/565)84% (271/322)
Long passes
71% (47/66)53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
75% (85/113)55% (37/67)
Crosses
19% (3/16)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.36
Throw ins
1510
Fouls
127
Tackles
53% (8/15)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4345
Clearances
1625
Interceptions
18
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.103.86
Goals prevented
0.10-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Bou W. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 18', Pena Biafore F. , Medina A. ,
  • 35', Carrera R. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Aquino D. , Cardozo A. (A),
  • 40', 3 - 0, Aquino D. , Carrera R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Herrera R. , Gomez J. ,
  • 46', Herrera L. , Cabrera B. ,
  • 54', 4 - 0, Aquino D. , Carrera R. (A),
  • 55', 5 - 0, Salvio E. , Aquino D. (A),
  • 59', Mazzantti W. , Nunez W. ,
  • 59', Sotelo D. , Esponda M. ,
  • 62', Salvio E. , Besozzi L. ,
  • 62', Aquino D. , Cabrera B. ,
  • 77', Luciano M. , Russo J. ,
  • 77', Bou W. , Valois Y. ,
  • 77', Carrera R. , Watson F. N. ,
  • 88', Guidara T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lanús
71.7%
Draw
21.7%
Newells Old Boys
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 26.5% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 25.5% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.
  • Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lanús - Newells Old Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.56)
    5.51
    (3.45)
    18.93
    (6.25)
    -13.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Lanús - Newells Old Boys?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Lanús (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lanús will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 1.
    • Lanús is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Newells Old Boys has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lanús is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Marcelino Moreno (Inactive) Sepulveda M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Arias G. (Broken calfbone) Coccaro M. (Muscle Injury) Montero A. (Knee Injury) Mosquera J. (Inactive) Salomon O. (Inactive) Sotelo D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Newells Old Boys - Lanús 2:1
    30.01.2024 Lanús - Newells Old Boys 0:2
    26.08.2023 Newells Old Boys - Lanús 1:0
    20.05.2023 Lanús - Newells Old Boys 1:0
    Latest results of Lanús
    04.03.2026 Lanús - Boca Juniors 0:3
    26.02.2026 Flamengo - Lanús 2:3
    19.02.2026 Lanús - Flamengo 1:0
    Latest results of Newells Old Boys
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)