Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Murakoshi K. ↓, Taki Y. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Nakano K. ⚽,
- 56', Yamamoto K. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Takahashi S. ⚽,
- 66', Yamamoto K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 66', Yamamoto R. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
- 68', Ota R. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
- 76', Nakano K. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
- 76', Igarashi T. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
- 78', Fujiwara K. 🟨,
- 78', Yasunaga R. 🟨,
- 82', Omori H. 🟨,
- 85', Kawana R. 🟨,
- 89', Yasunaga R. ↓, Kawakami K. ↑,
- 89', Sugita H. ↓, Matsumura G. ↑,
- 90+1', Kawana R. ↓, Mori R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Matsumoto Yamaga
33% | Draw
30.1% | Tochigi
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matsumoto Yamaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.52) |
3.06 ↑
(3.01) |
2.49 ↓
(2.63) |
8.7%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 0.
- In recent matches, Matsumoto Yamaga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tochigi is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Matsumoto Yamaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Tochigi?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Tochigi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi were as follows:
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Latest results of Tochigi
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 37:17 | 20 | 63 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 51:31 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47:35 | 12 | 53 |
| 5 | Osaka | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 41:28 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 31:29 | 2 | 43 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31:29 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 49:59 | -10 | 41 |
| 11 | Gifu | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Sagamihara | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 29:40 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Yamaga | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Gainare Tottori | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Ryukyu | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:40 | -9 | 34 |
| 16 | Kochi United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 37:51 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Nagano | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:42 | -16 | 29 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 28 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 28 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 32:42 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
