Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Murakoshi K. ↓, Taki Y. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Nakano K. ⚽,
- 56', Yamamoto K. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Takahashi S. ⚽,
- 66', Yamamoto K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 66', Yamamoto R. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
- 68', Ota R. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
- 76', Nakano K. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
- 76', Igarashi T. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
- 78', Fujiwara K. 🟨,
- 78', Yasunaga R. 🟨,
- 82', Omori H. 🟨,
- 85', Kawana R. 🟨,
- 89', Yasunaga R. ↓, Kawakami K. ↑,
- 89', Sugita H. ↓, Matsumura G. ↑,
- 90+1', Kawana R. ↓, Mori R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Matsumoto Yamaga
33% | Draw
30.1% | Tochigi
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matsumoto Yamaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.52) |
3.06 ↑
(3.01) |
2.49 ↓
(2.63) |
8.7%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 0.
- In recent matches, Matsumoto Yamaga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tochigi is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Matsumoto Yamaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Tochigi?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Tochigi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi were as follows:
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Latest results of Tochigi
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Osaka (3) | Kanazawa (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki (4) | Kagoshima Utd (5) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Osaka (3) | Tegevajaro Miyazaki (4) | 0 : 4 |
