Tochigi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya).

J2/J3 League - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
6	5
Corner kicks
3	6
Yellow cards
2	2
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
8	4
Corner kicks
3	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Osone K. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Hyakuda M. ⚽, Sehata G. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Nagai T. ⚽, Abe K. (A),
39', 3 - 1, Nakano K. ⚽, Abe K. (A),
41', Sehata G. 🟨,
42', 4 - 1, Nishino T. ⚽, Abe K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sehata G. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
46', Osone K. ↓, Shoji H. ↑,
49', Tsutsumi H. 🟨,
54', 5 - 1, Nakano K. ⚽, Nagai T. (A),
56', Nagai T. ↓, Sugimori K. ↑,
63', Iwasaki H. 🟨,
69', Fujimura R. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
69', Hyakuda M. ↓, Izuma S. ↑,
71', Kikuchi K. 🟨,
72', Uchida K. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
72', Nishino T. ↓, Kondo Y. ↑,
78', Farzan Sana M. ↓, Tagashira R. ↑,
84', Shimokawa T. ↓, Tamashiro T. ↑,
86', Tsutsumi H. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Tochigi
46.7%

Draw
26.6%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tochigi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thespakusatsu Gunma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tochigi - Thespakusatsu Gunma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.18)	3.47 ↑ (3.23)	3.44 ↑ (3.23)	8.6% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tochigi - Thespakusatsu Gunma?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 2.
In recent matches, Tochigi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Thespakusatsu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Thespakusatsu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tochigi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tochigi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi won against Thespakusatsu Gunma?

Tochigi has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Thespakusatsu Gunma won against Tochigi?

Thespakusatsu Gunma has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tochigi - Thespakusatsu Gunma were as follows:

28.03.2026 Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi 1:3

23.08.2025 Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi 0:1

07.06.2025 Tochigi - Thespakusatsu Gunma 0:1

20.10.2024 Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi 0:0

08.06.2024 Tochigi - Thespakusatsu Gunma 1:1

Latest results of Tochigi

08.04.2026 Tochigi - Vanraure Hachinohe 0:3 ✺

04.04.2026 Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi 2:1 ✺

28.03.2026 Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi 1:3 ✺

22.03.2026 Tochigi - Tochigi City 3:2 ✺

15.03.2026 Blaublitz Akita - Tochigi 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Thespakusatsu Gunma

04.04.2026 Vegalta Sendai - Thespakusatsu Gunma 3:2 ✺

28.03.2026 Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi 1:3 ✺

20.03.2026 Thespakusatsu Gunma - Shonan Bellmare 0:2 ✺

15.03.2026 Yokohama FC - Thespakusatsu Gunma 3:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Tochigi City - Thespakusatsu Gunma 1:2 ✺

Japan J2 J3 League Table

2026

East A

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	10	6	4	0	0	21:6	26
2	Shonan Bellmare	10	7	1	1	1	20:8	24
3	Blaublitz	10	7	0	1	2	13:8	22
4	Montedio Yamagata	10	4	1	0	5	12:11	14
5	Tochigi SC	10	4	0	1	5	18:19	13
6	Sagamihara	10	3	1	1	5	18:20	12
7	Vanraure	10	3	0	3	4	11:13	12
8	Yokohama FC	10	3	1	0	6	17:17	11
9	Tochigi City	10	2	1	1	6	12:23	9
10	Kusatsu	10	1	1	2	6	10:27	7

East B

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Iwaki	10	6	2	1	1	18:10	23
2	Kofu	10	6	1	0	3	14:7	20
3	Omiya Ardija	10	6	0	1	3	24:15	19
4	Yamaga	10	5	1	1	3	23:13	18
5	Gifu	10	5	1	1	3	17:13	18
6	Fujieda MYFC	10	4	2	2	2	16:15	18
7	Iwata	10	1	3	1	5	9:13	10
8	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	10	2	2	0	6	10:15	10
9	Fukushima Utd	10	2	0	2	6	15:28	8
10	Nagano	10	1	0	3	6	9:26	6

West A

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Tokushima	10	8	0	0	2	27:5	24
2	Toyama	10	5	3	0	2	25:15	21
3	Kochi United	10	6	1	1	2	19:13	21
4	Albirex Niigata	10	3	3	1	3	14:12	16
5	Kanazawa	10	2	3	2	3	11:16	14
6	Ehime	10	3	1	2	4	12:14	13
7	Kamatamare	10	4	0	0	6	7:18	12
8	Osaka	10	2	1	3	4	7:11	11
9	Imabari	10	2	1	2	5	6:11	10
10	Nara Club	10	2	0	2	6	13:26	8

West B

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	10	9	0	0	1	23:7	27
2	Kagoshima Utd	10	6	2	1	1	15:7	23
3	Sagan Tosu	10	4	1	1	4	11:10	15
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	10	4	1	1	4	12:12	15
5	Oita Trinita	10	4	1	0	5	13:12	14
6	Kumamoto	10	4	0	1	5	11:14	13
7	Reilac Shiga	9	4	0	1	4	7:10	13
8	Gainare Tottori	9	2	2	1	4	8:12	11
9	Ryukyu	10	1	2	2	5	10:16	9
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	10	2	0	1	7	8:18	7

Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )