Result
2:0
05/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Eduardo 🟨,
- 38', Daniel 🟨,
- 41', Thassio 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Leo Passos ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fernando Canesin ↓, Vinicius Popo ↑,
- 46', Thassio ↓, Dija ↑,
- 46', Eduardo ↓, Rayne Assis ↑,
- 46', Diego Guerra ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
- 55', Fabinho 🟨,
- 61', Luquinhas ↓, Junior Fialho ↑,
- 71', Neto Berola ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 72', Robson Reis ↓, Mascote ↑,
- 78', Mike ↓, Rodrigo Varanda ↑,
- 89', Leo Passos ↓, Nathan Silva ↑,
- 90+1', Ramon ↓, Kaio Mendes ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Vinicius Popo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ituano
52.7% | Draw
28.1% | Retrô Brasil
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Ituano - Retrô Brasil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.65) |
3.23 ↓
(3.75) |
4.74 ↑
(4.42) |
10%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ituano - Retrô Brasil?
Users Predictions:
Ituano will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ituano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Ituano is seen as the favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Retrô Brasil?
Ituano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Retrô Brasil won against Ituano?
Retrô Brasil has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ituano - Retrô Brasil were as follows:
Latest results of Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Ponte Preta | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 26 |
| 3 | Londrina | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Ypiranga FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Nautico | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Floresta EC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Brusque | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | CSA | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 | Ituano | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Botafogo PB | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 | Guarani | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Figueirense | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 14 | Maringa FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | ABC | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Confianca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Anapolis | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Retro | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Tombense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
