Result
4:1
26/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', Lucas Wingert ↓, Wesley Borges ↑,
- 13', Paulinho 🟨,
- 19', Nelsinho 🟨,
- 22', Felipe Cardoso 🟨,
- 24', Gabriel Santos 🟥,
- 26', 1 - 0, Leo Coltro ⚽,
- 30', Victor Reis 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, Gabriel Razera ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gabriel Souza ↓, Caua Tavares ↑,
- 46', Victor Reis ↓, Leo Souza ↑,
- 46', Nelsinho ↓, Felipe Muranga ↑,
- 46', Felipe Cardoso ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
- 59', 🟨,
- 61', Paulinho ↓, Adeilson ↑,
- 61', Caique Calito ↓, Rafinha ↑,
- 61', Fernando Canesin ↓, Lucas Stefanello ↑,
- 68', 3 - 0, Gabriel Razera ⚽,
- 73', Gabriel Razera ↓, Bruno Alves ↑,
- 74', Edison Negueba ↓, Giovane Gomez ↑,
- 80', 4 - 0, Lucas Stefanello ⚽,
- 84', 4 - 1, Rafinha ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ituano
31.8% | Draw
30% | Maringá
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ituano's form might have worsened.Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maringá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maringá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ituano - Maringá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.29) |
3.06 ↑
(3.05) |
2.41 ↓
(3.06) |
8.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- Ituano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Maringá has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Maringá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Maringá has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ituano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ituano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Maringá?
Ituano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maringá won against Ituano?
Maringá has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ituano - Maringá were as follows:
01.06.2025
Maringá
-
Ituano
1:1
Latest results of Maringá
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amazonas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Brusque | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Paysandu PA | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Ypiranga FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Ituano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | SER Caxias | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Maringa FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Guarani | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Barra FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Inter de Limeira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Santa Cruz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Maranhao | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Confianca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Ferroviaria | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Itabaiana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
