Villarrubia vs Deportivo Toledo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Rosell A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 85', 2 - 1, Segura V. ,

Chances of winning


Villarrubia
21.1%
Draw
28.6%
Deportivo Toledo
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 31.3% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 28.3% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarrubia's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Toledo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Villarrubia - Deportivo Toledo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.36
    (3.25)
    3.21
    (2.75)
    1.82
    (2.04)
    8.9%
    (16.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 0.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Recently, Villarrubia has had a series of away games.
    • Toledo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villarrubia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villarrubia - Deportivo Toledo were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Deportivo Toledo - Villarrubia 1:1
    22.03.2025 Villarrubia - Deportivo Toledo 0:2
    10.11.2024 Deportivo Toledo - Villarrubia 1:1
    12.05.2024 Villarrubia - Deportivo Toledo 0:1
    21.01.2024 Deportivo Toledo - Villarrubia 3:0
    Latest results of Villarrubia
    18.01.2026 Cazalegas - Villarrubia 1:1
    06.01.2026 Sonseca - Villarrubia 0:3
    13.12.2025 Marchamalo - Villarrubia 0:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Toledo
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toledo24166244:123254
    2Tarancon24156344:182651
    3Puertollano C.F24156336:152151
    4Ciudad Real24143741:221945
    5Albacete B24129332:141845
    6Villacanas24118525:141141
    7Villarrubia24116730:22839
    8San Clemente2498725:27-235
    9Guadalajara B2487921:23-231
    10Marchamalo24851130:31-129
    11Villarrobledo2478922:29-729
    12Huracan de Balazote24921326:35-929
    13La Solana2469916:22-627
    14Illescas24591016:27-1124
    15Azuqueca242101216:30-1416
    16Pedroneras242101219:36-1716
    17Sonseca24261617:52-3512
    18Cazalegas24261612:43-3112

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          Relegation