Result
3:0
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 27
- Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (317/389) | 85% (420/493) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.92 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.16 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 11 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 24 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
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| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (317/389) | 85% (420/493) |
| Long passes |
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| 37% (18/49) | 71% (35/49) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 77% (82/107) | 75% (124/165) |
| Crosses |
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| 9% (1/11) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.36 | 1.61 |
| Throw ins |
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| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
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| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
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| 62% (8/13) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 37 | 43 |
| Clearances |
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| 34 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.01 | 2.16 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 1.01 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Nordas L. 🟨,
- 23', Thorisson N. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 24', 1 - 0, Nordas L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Offerhaus G. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 0, Rivera M. ⚽, Trenskow J. (A),
- 62', Owusu T. ↓, Koswal D. ↑,
- 62', Alders G. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
- 65', Linday M. 🟨,
- 67', Nordas L. ↓, Vente D. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 0, Trenskow J. ⚽, van Overeem J. (A),
- 76', Tejan K. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
- 76', Brouwer P. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
- 79', Koswal D. ↓, Oudsten R. ↑,
- 81', van Overeem J. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
- 81', Willemsen M. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 81', Meerveld R. ↓, Courtens N. ↑,
- 85', Rivera M. 🟨,
- 90', Linday M. ↓, Ahmed I. ↑,
- 90', Trenskow J. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
- 90+4', Braude O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
57.8% | Draw
21.4% | Telstar
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heerenveen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Heerenveen - Telstar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.5) |
4.42 ↑
(4.17) |
4.56 ↓
(5.5) |
5.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Telstar?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Telstar will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 21.7% – 78.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Telstar (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Telstar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- Heerenveen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Telstar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Heerenveen is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Telstar: Lechkar A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Telstar: Alders G.
(Head Injury)
Thorisson N.
(Injury)
- We predict that Heerenveen will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Telstar?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Heerenveen?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Telstar were as follows:
19.10.2025
Telstar
-
Heerenveen
2:3
11.07.2025
Heerenveen
-
Telstar
1:1
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 84:40 | 44 | 74 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62:41 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72:48 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57:37 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:45 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:49 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Sittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:55 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 40:60 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:51 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Telstar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30:51 | -21 | 25 |
| 18 | Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34:77 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
