Kairat vs KuPS Kuopio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
29/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
212
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
132
Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
10
Total shots
212
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
60
Corner Kicks
132
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
612
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
118
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 7', Jorginho 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Satpaev D. , Mata L. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 0, Jorginho , Tapalov E. (A),
  • 43', 3 - 0, Gromyko V. , Satpaev D. (A),
  • 45', Arifi D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Zaria G. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Arad O. 🟨,
  • 66', Edmilson Santos , Ricardinho ,
  • 66', Satpaev D. , Mrynskiy A. ,
  • 67', Toure M. , Sadiku A. ,
  • 67', Arifi D. , Voutilainen J. ,
  • 73', Gromyko V. 🟨,
  • 74', Jorginho , Bagdat R. ,
  • 76', Hamalainen N. , Armah B. ,
  • 81', Gromyko V. , Sadybekov A. ,
  • 84', Pennanen P. , Heinonen A. ,
  • 84', Luyeye-Lutumba J. , Pasanen S. ,
  • 90+6', Zarutskiy A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Mrynskiy A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kairat
70.8%
Draw
18%
KuPS Kuopio
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 23.6% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 26.3% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat's performance.
  • KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KuPS Kuopio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kairat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS Kuopio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kairat - KuPS Kuopio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.68)
    5.5
    (4.03)
    8.94
    (4.86)
    3.5%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kairat - KuPS Kuopio?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • TQ, OT - Kairat (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Kairat (1.58) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Kairat (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Kairat (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - KuPS (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Kairat will win (39 of 48 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.21%92.29%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kairat will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 34 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 28 - 82.4%). KuPS (votes: 2 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Kairat has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • KuPS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kairat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kairat is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kairat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
    22.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Kairat 2:0
    Latest results of Kairat
    26.07.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Kairat 1:3
    22.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Kairat 2:0
    19.07.2025 Kairat - Kaisar 1:1
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    22.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Kairat 2:0
    19.07.2025 VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio 1:1
    04.07.2025 Oulu - KuPS Kuopio 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2