Kairat vs KuPS Kuopio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Kairat - KuPS Kuopio
Result
3:0
29/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
212
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
132
Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
10
Total shots
212
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
60
Corner Kicks
132
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
612
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
118
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 7', Jorginho 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Satpaev D. , Mata L. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 0, Jorginho , Tapalov E. (A),
  • 43', 3 - 0, Gromyko V. , Satpaev D. (A),
  • 45', Arifi D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Zaria G. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Arad O. 🟨,
  • 66', Edmilson Santos , Ricardinho ,
  • 66', Satpaev D. , Mrynskiy A. ,
  • 67', Toure M. , Sadiku A. ,
  • 67', Arifi D. , Voutilainen J. ,
  • 73', Gromyko V. 🟨,
  • 74', Jorginho , Bagdat R. ,
  • 76', Hamalainen N. , Armah B. ,
  • 81', Gromyko V. , Sadybekov A. ,
  • 84', Pennanen P. , Heinonen A. ,
  • 84', Luyeye-Lutumba J. , Pasanen S. ,
  • 90+6', Zarutskiy A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Mrynskiy A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kairat
70.8%
Draw
18%
KuPS Kuopio
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 23.6% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 26.3% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat's performance.
  • KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KuPS Kuopio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kairat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS Kuopio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kairat - KuPS Kuopio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.68)
    5.5
    (4.03)
    8.94
    (4.86)
    3.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Kairat - KuPS Kuopio?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 7 - 63.6%). KuPS (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Kairat (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Kairat will win (39 of 48 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.21%92.29%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Kairat has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • KuPS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kairat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kairat is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kairat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
    22.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Kairat 2:0
    Latest results of Kairat
    26.07.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Kairat 1:3
    22.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Kairat 2:0
    19.07.2025 Kairat - Kaisar 1:1
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    22.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Kairat 2:0
    19.07.2025 VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio 1:1
    04.07.2025 Oulu - KuPS Kuopio 2:2
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

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